Oklahoma vs Texas Prediction 3/7/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Oklahoma Sooners and the Texas Longhorns will meet on Saturday night in an SEC Conference matchup at the Moody Center in Austin, Texas.

Texas Longhorns Betting Preview

The Texas Longhorns enter Saturday’s contest with a 18–12 overall win‑loss record, including a 9–8 mark in conference play and a 12-4 record at home. The Longhorns have compiled wins over Maryland Eastern Shore, Southern, North Carolina State and the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights, while dropping games to Duke and the Mississippi State Bulldogs.

In the Texas Longhorns 88–85 win over the LSU Tigers earlier this season, Texas guard Dailyn Swain accumulated 21 points (7 of 12 shooting from the field), 10 rebounds and 2 assists illustrating his ability to lead the Longhorns backcourt.

The Texas Longhorns average 83.1 points (31st in nation) on 48.6 percent shooting from the field and 35 percent from three‑point range per game. Through 30 games played this season, the Longhorns are allowing opponents 76.4 points per contest.

Sophomore guard Dailyn Swain leads the Texas Longhorns with 17.9 points, 7.3 rebounds, 3.3 assists and 1.8 steals per game, while senior guard Jordan Pope contributes 13 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2 assists per contest providing the Longhorns additional backcourt depth. Sophomore center Matas Vokietaitis averages 15.7 points, 6.9 rebounds and 1 block per game.

Oklahoma Sooners Betting Preview

The Oklahoma Sooners enter Saturday’s contest with a 16–4 record, including a 6–11 record mark in conference play and a 3-7 record on the road. The Sooners have amassed wins over Oral Roberts, Alcorn State, Marquette and Wake Forest, while losing games to Gonzaga, Nebraska and the Arizona State Sun Devils.

Earlier this season, in the Oklahoma Sooners 86–68 victory over the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, Oklahoma forward Mohamed Wague tallied 11 points, 14 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 blocks and 1 steal showcasing his ability to play at a high level in the paint.

The Oklahoma Sooners average 82.6 points (37th in country) on 46.9 percent shooting from the field and 37.2 percent shooting from three‑point range per game. On the defensive side of the basketball, the Sooners are allowing opponents 77.2 points per contest.

Senior guard Nijel Pack leads the Oklahoma Sooners averaging 17.2 points, 3 rebounds, 3.0 assists and 0.7 steals per game. Senior forward Tae Davis adds 13.3 points, 6.8 rebounds and 2.4 assists per contest. Sophomore forward Derrion Reid provides 11.1 points, 3.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game. Senior forward Mohamed Wague anchors the paint averaging 7.4 points, 7.4 rebounds and 1 block per game.

Why the Texas Longhorns Will Win

• Quality offense. The Texas Longhorns average 83.1 points (31st in nation) on 48.6 percent shooting from the field per game.

• Defensive edge. Through 30 games played this season, the Longhorns are allowing opponents 76.4 points per contest. Conversely, the Sooners are allowing 77.2 points per contest.

• Guard play. Sophomore guard Dailyn Swain leads the Texas Longhorns with 17.9 points, 7.3 rebounds, 3.3 assists and 1.8 steals per game.

• Home court advantage. The Texas Longhorns have compiled a 12-4 record at home this season.

Why the Oklahoma Sooners Will Win

•            Guard dominance. Senior guard Nijel Pack leads the Oklahoma Sooners averaging 17.2 points, 3 rebounds, 3.0 assists and 0.7 steals per game

•            Balanced scoring. Davis, Wague, and Reid provide consistent secondary production.

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns Prediction

This matchup features Oklahoma’s perimeter shooting and recent offensive surge against a Texas team that has been far better at home (12-4) relative to on the road this season. Oklahoma has the firepower to keep this game competitive, but the Longhorns home court advantage and superior shooting efficiency give the Longhorns the cleaner path to victory in this contest. With that said, I think the Sooners have the ability to keep this game within the number (7.5). For the reasons just noted, I am backing the Oklahoma Sooners plus the 7.5 points in this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Oklahoma +7.5