Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction 8/29/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Red Sox vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 29th at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 73-61 this year after they lost game one by a score of 0-1 on Friday night. Boston allowed a run in the third inning and never found any offense in the shutout loss. The Red Sox recorded five hits and they were led by Abreu, who went 2-3 in the game. Sandoval allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.1 innings for the loss, while Olds threw a scoreless inning in relief. Prior to this series, Boston won two out of three against the Marlins and all three against the Giants. 

This season, Boston has a 3.46 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 600 runs with a .249 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with 26 home runs and 78 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added 18 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston in game one is Jake Bennett, who is 8-6 with a 3.49 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 87.2 innings pitched this year. The projected starting pitcher for game two is TBD.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 76-58 this season after they won game one by a score of 1-0 last night. New York produced the only offense of the game in the third inning for the low scoring win. The Yankees recorded three hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Goldschmidt, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Schlittler allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 5.2 innings for the win, while Bednar picked up the save. Prior to this series, New York lost two out of three against the Astros, but did win two out of three against the Blue Jays before that. 

This season, New York has a 3.22 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while they have scored 597 runs with a .230 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 35 home runs and 83 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 12 home runs and 59 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York in game one is Carlos Rodon, who is 4-2 with a 3.15 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 54.1 innings pitched. The projected starting pitcher for game two is TBD.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have lost seven of their last eight road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last five games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won 16 of their last 17 games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites following a home win.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last nine Saturday road games.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as home favorites following a home win.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 12 home day games.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Yankees’ last eight day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Red Sox’s last seven day games against AL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Yankees’ last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine games as road underdogs against AL opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Paul Goldschmidt has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four games at Yankee Stadium against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded seven strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Trent Grisham has recorded two hits in each of the Yankees’ last five day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit at least one home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five games as road underdogs.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 road appearances against AL opponents.
• Jake Bennett has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in day games.

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction 

New York was able to start this series with a big win on Friday night and they are now three games ahead of Boston for second in the East. The Yankees are 35-30 at home this year, while the Red Sox are 39-29 on the road. Boston has lost two games in a row and they have been shutout in both losses. In game one, I am going to give the edge to Boston with Bennett on the mound. In game two, I don’t see either starting pitcher listed, so I can’t really give an opinion right now.

David Racey's Pick: Game 1: Red Sox ML Game 2: TBD