Marlins vs Nationals Prediction 8/29/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 29th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 68-67 this year after they lost game one by a score of 2-9 on Friday night. Miami led 1-0 in the second inning, but they allowed the next nine runs for the loss. The Marlins recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Hernandez, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. Perez allowed two hits and five earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Monteverde allowed four earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Miami lost two out of three against the Red Sox, but did sweep the Nationals in three games before that. 

This season, Miami has a 3.92 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while they have scored 584 runs with a .249 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Otto Lopez has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 59 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added 13 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Sandy Alcantara, who is 13-8 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 183.2 innings pitched this year. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 64-73 this season after they won game one by a score of 9-2 last night. Washington scored five runs in the third inning to take the lead and never looked back in the win. The Nationals recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by House, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Kent allowed three hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Kranick allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Washington split four games with the Rockies and lost all three against the Marlins. 

This season, Washington has a 4.67 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while they have scored 713 runs with a .248 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 29 home runs and 92 RBIs, while James Wood has added 30 home runs and 73 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Cade Cavalli, who is 12-5 with a 3.21 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 148.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight day games following a loss.
• The Nationals have won each of their last five day games against the Marlins following a home win.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games against the Marlins following a win.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games following a loss.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games at Nationals Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games at Nationals Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Marlins’ last five games at Nationals Park.
• The Nationals have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a home win.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games following a win.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Nationals’ last eight day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Marlins’ last four road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 11 of Sandy Alcantara’s last 12 appearances as a starter.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Nationals’ last seven games at Nationals Park.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Cade Cavalli has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Nationals as favorites.
• Cade Cavalli has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances with the Nationals as favorites.
• Daylen Lile has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last four games as home favorites.
• Jacob Young has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Nationals as favorites against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Heriberto Hernandez has hit at least one home run in three of the Marlins’ last four games at Nationals Park.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last nine road games against NL opponents.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances in day games.

Marlins vs Nationals Prediction 

Miami comes into this matchup after losing three of their last four games and they continue to struggle away from home. The Marlins are 26-40 on the road this year, while the Nationals are 30-38 at home. Washington has split their last four games and they have scored 16 runs in their last two. The Nationals are starting Cavalli, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings, while Alcantara has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five. Take the under here.

David Racey's Pick: Under 7.5