Mar 10, 2026; Kansas City, MO, USA; Baylor Bears guard Tounde Yessoufou (24) dribbles against Arizona State Sun Devils guard Maurice Odum (5) during the second half at T-Mobile Center. Mandatory Credit: William Purnell-Imagn Images
William Purnell-Imagn Images

Oklahoma vs Baylor Prediction 4/4/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Oklahoma Sooners Baylor Bears
Team Records 20-15 17-16
Where T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
When Saturday, April 4, 2026
Time 01:30 PM EDT
TV FOX

In this article, we will formulate an Oklahoma vs Baylor Prediction for this College Basketball Crown semifinal on Saturday, April 4tht. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Baylor Bears Preview


The Baylor Bears have a 17-16 overall record and a 6-12 record in the Big 12. They are coming off a 67-48 win against Minnesota and their previous three games were an 83-79 loss against Arizona State, a 101-75 win against Utah and a 77-64 loss against Houston.

Offensively, Baylor averages 82.1 points per game, while allowing 76.3 points per game defensively. The Bears shoot with 48% from the field and grab 36.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.6 assists per game. They average 4 blocks per game and 6.5 steals per game defensively.

Cameron Carr leads Baylor in scoring, with an average of 19 points per game, while shooting with 50.6% from the field and 80.6% from the free throw line. Caden Powell is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.3 per game. Isaac Williams IV leads the team in assists with 3.3 per game.

Oklahoma Sooners Preview


The Oklahoma Sooners have a 20-15 overall record and a 7-11 record in the SEC. They are coming off a 90-86 win against Colorado and their previous three games were an 82-79 loss against Arkansas, an 83-63 win against Texas A&M and an 86-74 win against South Carolina.

Offensively, Oklahoma averages 82.9 points per game, while allowing 77.3 points per game defensively. The Sooners shoot with 47% from the field and grab 35.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.3 assists per game. They average 3.9 blocks per game and 6.3 steals per game defensively.

Nijel Pack leads Oklahoma in scoring, with an average of 16.6 points per game, while shooting with 47% from the field and 85.2% from the free throw line. Mohamed Wague is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.8 per game. Xzayvier Brown leads the team in assists with 3.2 per game.

Oklahoma Sooners @ Baylor Bears Betting Trends: April 4, 2026


Why the Baylor Bears will win

  • Baylor has won 11 of its last 12 games against Oklahoma.
  • Oklahoma has lost five of its last six games after coming off overtime.
  • Baylor has won the first half in eight of its last nine games against Oklahoma.

Why the Oklahoma Sooners will win

  • Oklahoma has won each of its last 15 day games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Baylor has lost four of its last five day games played at neutral venues.
  • Oklahoma has won the first half in four of its last five games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the last six day games between Oklahoma and Baylor have produced a total of 154 or fewer points.
  • Twenty-five of Oklahoma’s last 29 games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Baylor ranks 29th among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (29.3).
  • Baylor ranks 38th among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (119.1).
  • Oklahoma ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (121.1).
  • Oklahoma ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for points per possession this season (1.21).

Oklahoma vs Baylor Prediction


In this Oklahoma vs Baylor Prediction, Oklahoma is coming as -1 favorites. Oklahoma got in some trouble in the quarterfinal against Colorado where they won by just 4 points and failed to cover the spread. On the flip side, Baylor played excellent defense in the quarterfinals and held Minnesota into just 48 points en route to an easy 19-point win and is 5-1 against the spread in its last 6 games. They have also been dominating Oklahoma in recent years, having lost only once in their last 10 head-to-head meetings and are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. Take Baylor on the moneyline in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Baylor ML