Oakland vs Boise State Prediction 11/11/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Oakland vs Boise State Prediction

In Oakland vs Boise State Prediction, Boise State is coming as -16.5 home favorites. Both teams have started the season on completely opposite trajectories, as the Broncos have been undefeated this season, while the Grizzlies have lost all of their four games played and have failed to cover the spread in their last three. Oakland has been struggling mightily both offensively and defensively, having a -24.5 point differential and has big trouble shooting the ball from the field, with just a 38.8% field goal percentage. Boise State’s only game against a Division I team was a commanding 19-point win against Butler and their offense has been looking elite so far, so I don’t expect them to have much trouble at home against an inferior Oakland team. Take the Broncos and lay the -16.5 points at home in this one.

Boise State Broncos Preview

The Boise State Broncos have a 2-0 overall record and a 2-0 home record. They are coming off a 100-81 home win against Butler and will face Nebraska and Sam Houston next.

Offensively, they are averaging 116 points per game, while allowing 67 points per game defensively. The Broncos are shooting 52.1% from the field and 43.3% from beyond the arc, while allowing their opponents to shoot with 34.3% from the field and 19.4% from the 3-point range. They are shooting with a 63% from the free-throw line. They are grabbing 56 rebounds per game and allow 30.5 rebounds per game off their opponents, while averaging 24.5 assists per game and allowing their opponents to dish 10.5 assists per game. They average 5.5 blocks per game and 9.5 steals per game, while committing 10 turnovers per game and forcing their opponents into 17 turnovers per game.

Aginaldo Neto leads Boise State Broncos in scoring, averaging 17.5 ppg on 48% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 6.5 assists per game. Spencer Ahrens follows with 17 ppg on 52% shooting from the field. Dovydas Butka (57.1% FG, also adding a team-high 11.5 rebounds per game) and Bhan Buom (58.3% FG) follow with 16 ppg each.

Oakland Golden Grizzlies Preview

The Oakland Golden Grizzlies have a 0-4 overall record and a 0-4 road record. They are coming off a 68-109 road loss against Alabama and will face Northern Iowa and Arizona State next.

Offensively, they are averaging 66.5 points per game, while allowing 91 points per game defensively. The Grizzlies are shooting 38.8% from the field and 26.5% from beyond the arc, while allowing their opponents to shoot with 51% from the field and 42.6% from the 3-point range. They are shooting with a 70.8% from the free-throw line. They are grabbing 33.8 rebounds per game and allow 36 rebounds per game off their opponents, while averaging 8.2 assists per game and allowing their opponents to dish 21.2 assists per game. They average 0.8 blocks per game and 6 steals per game, while committing 13.8 turnovers per game and forcing their opponents into 9.5 turnovers per game.

Chris Fields Jr. leads Oakland Golden Grizzlies in scoring, averaging 17.2 ppg on 48% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 10 rebounds per game and a team-high 1.5 assists per game. Nassim Mashhour follows with 15.5 ppg on 35.3% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 1.5 assists per game. Ryder Bradley follows with 7 ppg on 47.8% shooting from the field.

Oakland Golden Grizzlies @ Boise State Broncos Betting Trends: November 11, 2026

Why the Boise State Broncos will win

• Boise State has won 15 of its last 16 night games against non-Conference opponents at ExtraMile Arena.
• Oakland has lost each of its last six games against non-Conference opponents.
• Oakland has lost the first half in each of its last six games.

Total Points Facts

• Eighteen of Boise State’s last 20 night games against non-Conference opponents at ExtraMile Arena have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.
• Each of Oakland’s last six Wednesday road games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 158 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Boise State ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for points per game this season (116.0).
• Boise State ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for pace this season (84.2).
• Oakland ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (14.5).
• Oakland ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (21.3).

Nick Lagouretos's Pick: Boise State -16.5