Mar 23, 2025; Cleveland, OH, USA; St. Mary's Gaels forward Paulius Murauskas (23) shoots the ball in the first half against the Alabama Crimson Tide during the NCAA Tournament Second Round at Rocket Arena. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images
Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images

North Texas vs St. Mary’s Prediction 11/14/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP North Texas Mean Green St. Mary's Gaels
Team Records 3-1 3-0
Spread +15.5 -118 -15.5 -102
Moneyline +900 -1600
Total Over 129.5 (-112) Under 129.5 (-108)
Where University Credit Union Pavilion, Moraga, CA
When Friday, November 14, 2025
Time 10:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

The North Texas Mean Green and the St. Mary’s Gaels meet Friday in college basketball action from the University Credit Union Pavilion. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a North Texas Mean Green vs. St. Mary’s Gaels prediction.

North Texas Mean Green Recap

The North Texas Mean Green come into this game looking to rebound from a 66-64 loss at the hands of Oregon State last time out to sit at 3-1 this season. After this game, North Texas will head home for a game against Central Arkansas.

Mean Green Looking To Bounce Back From First L

Je’Shawn Stevenson leads North Texas in scoring with 14.5 PPG along with 3.5 RPG while Will McClendon has 13 PPG with 4 RPG and 2.5 APG. David Terrell Jr. has 10.3 PPG with 2.8 RPG and a team-high 5 APG to lead the Mean Green in assists while Dylan Arnett has 10 PPG with 5.5 RPG to lead North Texas in rebounding and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for North Texas up to this point in the year. As a team, North Texas is averaging 74 PPG on 47.1% shooting from the field, 40.3% from three and 68.3% from the foul line this season.

St. Mary’s Gaels Prediction

The St. Mary’s Gaels come into this game looking to build on a 90-60 win over Chattanooga last time out to sit at 3-0 this season. After this game, St. Mary’s will head home for a game against Arkansas State.

Gaels Looking To Stay Unbeaten

Mikey Lewis leads the Gaels in scoring with 21.7 PPG along with 3.3 RPG and 4 APG while Paulius Murauskas has 17.7 PPG with 7 RPG and a team-high 5 APG to lead the Gaels in assists as the only other double-digit scorer for St. Mary’s up to this point in the year. Liam Campbell has 9 PPG while Joshua Dent has 9 PPG with 5 APG as well and Andrew McKeever has 8.3 PPG with a team-high 9 RPG to lead the Gaels in rebounding up to this point in the year. As a team, St. Mary’s is averaging 87 PPG on 52.4% shooting from the field, 46.9% from three and 84.3% from the foul line this season. 

North Texas Mean Green @ Saint Mary’s Gaels Betting Trends: November 14, 2025


Why the Saint Mary’s Gaels will win

  • Saint Mary’s has won each of its last 27 night games at University Credit Union Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • North Texas has lost four of its last five road games against the West Coast Conference.
  • Saint Mary’s has won the first half in each of its last 27 night games at University Credit Union Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the North Texas Mean Green will win

  • North Texas has won 17 of its last 20 night games.
  • North Texas has won the first half in each of its last four games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Saint Mary’s’ last 10 games against non-Conference opponents at University Credit Union Pavilion have produced a total of 141+ points.
  • Each of North Texas’ last three games against the West Coast Conference Conference have produced a total of 130 or fewer points.

North Texas Mean Green vs. St. Mary’s Gaels Prediction

I’m on the Gaels in this one. I just like what I’ve seen from St. Mary’s at home, and while the Mean Green have kept a lot of the same core principles from the Ross Hodge coached team last year, I just don’t think this North Texas team is as good as last year’s and I think the Gaels get it done in this one. Give me St. Mary’s.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: St. Mary's -13.5

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