North Texas vs Oklahoma State Prediction 3/25/25 College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a North Texas vs Oklahoma State prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, March 25 at the Gallagher-Iba Arena, in Stillwater, OK. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this game in the quarterfinals of the NIT. The winner of this game will meet UC Irvine or UAB in the semis.

North Texas Mean Green Betting Preview

The North Texas Mean Green (26-8, 16-14-2 ATS) won seven of the final eight games in the regular season to secure the No. 2 seed for the American conference tournament. They skipped the opening two rounds and joined in the quarterfinals, where the Mean Green had no issues defeating Tulsa 77-59, but in the semis, they lost 66-56 to UAB. North Texas returned to winning ways at the NIT, beating Furman and Arkansas State to reach the quarterfinals.

North Texas averages 68.2 PPG (343rd) and allows 59.9 PPG (3rd). The Mean Green are 357th in rebounds (32.8) and 431st in assists (10.5). Atin Wright leads the team with 14.9 PPG and 2.4 RPG. Brenen Lorient follows him with 11.9 PPG, 5.0 RPG, and a team-high 1.1 BPG, while Jasper Floyd chips in 8.8 PPG, 2.9 RPG, a team-high 3.9 APG, and a team-high 1.3 SPG.

Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Preview

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (17-17, 16-18 ATS) were in poor form late in the season after losing five of the final eight games and entered the Big 12 tournament as the No. 12 seed. The Cowboys lost the very first game in the tourney and it was a blowout defeat to Cincinnati. Oklahoma State did receive an invitation to the NIT, where it beat Wichita State and upset SMU to get this far.

Oklahoma State is averaging 73.4 PPG (204th) and is allowing 76.8 PPG (311th). The Cowboys are getting 35.3 RPG (210th) and dish out 12.8 APG (283rd). Bryce Thompson is the team’s top performer with 12.9 PPG and 2.7 RPG. Abou Ousmane has 12.4 PPG, a team-high 5.2 RPG, and 1.0 SPG, while Marchelus Avery contributes 11.4 PPG and 4.3 RPG.

Why North Texas will beat Oklahoma State

• North Texas has won each of its last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why Oklahoma State will beat North Texas

• Oklahoma State has won 13 of its last 14 games against non-conference opponents at Gallagher-Iba Arena.
• North Texas has lost the first half in four of its last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Oklahoma State’s last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Gallagher-Iba Arena have produced a total of 145+ points.
• Each of North Texas’ last eight road games against non-AP-ranked opponents has produced a total of 132 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Oklahoma State ranks 28th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (8.9).
• Oklahoma State ranks T28th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (14.7).
• North Texas ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (59.5).
• North Texas ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (9.4).

North Texas vs Oklahoma State Prediction

These teams have met on five occasions, and Oklahoma State leads the series 3-2. North Texas was better in the previous encounters in 2023, and that’s the only H2H played in this decade. North Texas has a way better defense and one of the slowest offenses in basketball, so it’s clear that the Mean Green will control the tempo of this game. Oklahoma State does play in a much stronger conference and is 13-3 at home, so I can’t back the visitors even though I believe they have a chance here.

Instead, I’ll opt for the points and Over. Oklahoma State improved its offense at the NIT, scoring 85+ points in each of its two games so far. I don’t think the Cowboys will get to the 80-point mark on Tuesday, but they can score 70+ without problems. The Cowboys have a pretty weak defense, which is a chance for North Texas to also contribute 70+ points. Back Over.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Over 138.5