New Mexico vs Marquette Prediction 3/21/25 College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a New Mexico vs Marquette prediction for this College Basketball game on Friday, March 21st at Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this game in the 1st Round of the NCAA Tournament. 

New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview

The New Mexico Lobos are 26-7 (17-3) this season after they lost to Boise State by a score of 72-69 in their last game. New Mexico led 34-28 at halftime, but they were outscored 44-35 in the second half in the loss. The Lobos shot 39.7% from the field, 33.3% on three pointers, and 72.2% on free throws in the game. Donovan Dent led New Mexico with 23 points and five assists, while Nelly Junior Joseph added 19 points and eight rebounds in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Lobos defeated San Jose State by a score of 63-52 and UNLV by a score of 81-67. New Mexico has won four of their last five games and they finished first in the Mountain West standings with a 17-3 record. The Lobos picked up non-conference wins over UCLA, USC, and VCU, but did lose to St. John’s by 14 and Arizona State by three. New Mexico has scored 81.2 points per game and they have allowed 70.8 points against per game, while also averaging 39.3 rebounds and 15.2 assists per game this season. Donovan Dent is averaging 20.6 points, 2.3 rebounds, and 6.4 assists per game, while Nelly Junior Joseph is averaging 14.0 points, 11.2 rebounds, and 1.2 assists per game this year. New Mexico is shooting 45.9% from the field, 68.7% on free throws, and 34.7% on three pointers this season. 

Marquette Golden Eagles Betting Preview

The Marquette Golden Eagles are 23-10 (13-7) this year after they lost to St. John’s by a score of 79-63 in their last game. Marquette led 37-35 at halftime, but they were outscored 44-26 in the second half in the loss. The Golden Eagles shot 39% from the field, 20.7% on three pointers, and 61.1% on free throws in the game. Kam Jones led Marquette with 24 points and seven rebounds, while Stevie Mitchell added 11 points and four rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Golden Eagles defeated Xavier by a score of 89-87, but did lose to St. John’s by a score of 86-84 before that. Marquette has lost three of their last four games and they finished tied for fourth in the Big East standings with a 13-7 record. The Golden Eagles picked up non-conference wins against Maryland, Purdue, Georgia, and Wisconsin, but did lose to Iowa State by 11 and Dayton by eight. Marquette has scored 76.9 points per game and they have allowed 68.5 points against per game, while also averaging 34.2 rebounds and 13.8 assists per game this season. Kam Jones is averaging 19.3 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per game, while David Joplin is averaging 13.8 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 1.3 assists per game this year. Marquette is shooting 44.5% from the field, 72.3% on free throws, and 32.5% on three pointers this season. 

Why New Mexico will beat Marquette

• New Mexico has won 31 of its last 37 games against non-Conference opponents.
• Marquette has lost three of its last four games.
• Marquette has lost the first half in eight of its last 10 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Marquette’s last 10 night games have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
• Ten of New Mexico’s last 11 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 152 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Marquette ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (28.8).
• Marquette ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (9.1).
• New Mexico ranks 15th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (15.4).
• New Mexico ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (5.2).

David Racey is 32-13 (71%) in College Basketball over the last seven days. Click here for his premium plays for today!

New Mexico vs Marquette Prediction 

Marquette finished the season by losing three of their last four games and they allowed 79, 87, and 84 points in their last three. The Golden Eagles don’t shoot the ball particularly well from the field and they will be facing a decent New Mexico defense here. The Lobos have won four of their last five games and they were very good in the Mountain West this season. New Mexico is the better shooting team and they should have a decent rebounding advantage as well. I was not impressed with Marquette over their last 12 games and I think New Mexico is going to win, but I will take the points here. 

David Racey's Pick: New Mexico +4