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New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Prediction 2/1/25 College Basketball Picks

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Western Kentucky (13-8) vs New Mexico State (12-9)

February 1, 2025 at 03:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Western Kentucky -3 — Over/Under: 141.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 1st, at the Diddle Arena. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Aggies’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Hilltoppers’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New Mexico State

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Western Kentucky

-Recent betting trends in games played between New Mexico State and Western Kentucky

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Aggies and Hilltoppers. 

Western Kentucky Preview

Western Kentucky has confidence after winning their last two games. Two games ago against Sam Houston State, they ended up winning 75-66 and in the last game against UTEP they were able to secure the 78-74. In the second half, they scored 44 points and that was enough for the victory. Khristian Lander had a strong game putting up 28 points, three assists, and two rebounds. There were three different players that put up at least 10 points. The offense is going to need to get out to a fast start here. 

Western Kentucky sits with a 13-8 record overall and they currently sit in 6th place in Conference USA. Western Kentucky is averaging 76.9 points while their defense is giving up 75 points per game. The offense is ranked 115th in the league while the defense is ranked 282nd in the league. They have an offensive rating of 102.2, which is 288th in the league, while the defense is ranked 99.7, which is 93rd in the league. Guard Don McHenry is averaging 17.3 points while shooting 39.4 percent from the field and 29.9 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Why Western Kentucky Will Beat New Mexico State 

  • Western Kentucky has won each of its last 13 day games at E. A. Diddle Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • New Mexico State has lost three of its last four games against the Conference USA.

Can New Mexico State Win Second Straight Game?

New Mexico State has played pretty well heading into this game and they are coming off a victory in the last game. New Mexico State faced off against Middle Tennessee in the last game, and they scored 61 points while the defense gave up only 57 points, and that led to the four-point victory. The Aggies were up 35-26 at halftime and they never looked back on the way to the victory. Peter Filipovity put up 12 points, nine rebounds, and three assists. 

New Mexico State comes into this game with a 12-9 record overall. New Mexico State is averaging 71.5 points while their defense is giving up 66.7 points per game. The offense is ranked 255th in the league while the defense is ranked 55th in the league. They have a defensive rating of 97.2 which is 53rd in the league. They are going to need the defense to be good here. Christian Cook is having a strong season and he’s averaging 14.4 points while shooting 40.9 percent from the field. New Mexico State will face UTEP and Liberty following this one.

Why New Mexico State Will Beat Western Kentucky

  • The road team has won each of New Mexico State’s last three games.

New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Prediction

I expect New Mexico State is going to get the pace of this game slowed down, and that is going to be the difference here. New Mexico State is giving up 66.7 points per game and their defense is going to step up in a big way here. Western Kentucky’s offense is going to really struggle to get anything going here, and that will be the difference as this game is going to stay under the total. Back the under. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Under

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