New Mexico State vs Missouri State Prediction 1/4/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The New Mexico State Aggies and the Missouri State Bears meet Sunday in college basketball action from JQH Arena in Springfield. Here’s a New Mexico State vs Missouri State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best New Mexico State vs Missouri State pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview

The Aggies opened the year with six straight wins over Adams State, New Mexico Highlands, New Mexico, Samford, UC Irvine and Georgia State. After losses to South Alabama, Abilene Christian and Tulsa in the next three, New Mexico State bounced back with wins over Sam Houston and University of the Southwest, improving their record to 8-3 in the first 11 games of the year.

In their Friday game versus Florida International, the Aggies went into the break with a five-point deficit. Things only got worse in the second half though, as New Mexico State limped to a loss 89-74. Tops in scoring was Anthony Wrzeszcz with 15 points, three assists and two rebounds, while Elijah Elliott put up 14 points with three rebounds and two assists in the loss.

Missouri State Bears Betting Preview

Over on the Bears’ side, they won four of their first seven games versus Missouri Southern State, Northwestern Oklahoma State, UTRGV and Northeastern State. Missouri State would lose to Tulsa and Xavier before finding their groove again with wins over Oral Roberts, Lindenwood and Delaware. In the first 12 games the Bears managed a 7-5 overall record.

Matched up against UTEP on Friday the Bears rolled to a dominant 49-23 advantage by the break. Missouri State closed with 30 more points in the second half and ended up winning easily 79-55. Leading the scorers was Kobi Williams with 20 points and three boards. Trey Williams had 15 points in 27 minutes and Keith Palek added 13 points with five rebounds and five assists.

New Mexico State Aggies @ Missouri State Bears Betting Trends: January 4, 2026

Why the Missouri State Bears will win

• Missouri State has won nine of its last 10 games against the Conference USA.
• New Mexico State has lost three of its last four games against the Conference USA.
• New Mexico State has lost the first half in three of its last four road day games against the Conference USA.

New Mexico State vs Missouri State Prediction

I’ll go with Missouri State. The Bears are coming off a nice win over a struggling UTEP squad, shooting 53.1 percent from the field and 8-of-19 (42.1 percent) from outside along the way. Missouri State put up a 28-22 rebounding edge and a 28-14 advantage on points in the paint. The Bears have now won four straight games ,but they’ve finished below 64 points in two of those wins. I’d like to see another 70-plus finish on the scoreboard in this one.

As for New Mexico State, they shot well in their loss to Florida International (49.1 percent) but also gave up 52.5 percent shooting on the other side. The Aggies’ 36-23 rebounding deficit and 14 turnovers didn’t help either. New Mexico State has hit a nice 69 or more points in six straight games, but they’re just 2-4 in that time.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Missouri State Bears -1