Feb 4, 2025; Colorado Springs, Colorado, USA; Nevada Wolf Pack guard Daniel Foster (20) controls the ball as Air Force Falcons guard Byron Brown (11) guards in the second half at Clune Arena. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images
Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

Nevada vs UC Santa Barbara Prediction 11/11/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Nevada vs UC Santa Barbara Odds and Matchup Info
MATCHUP Nevada Wolf Pack UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
Team Records 2-0 2-0
Spread -1.5 105 +1.5 -125
Moneyline -115 -105
Total Over 144.5 (-105) Under 144.5 (-115)
Where The Thunderdome, Santa Barbara, CA
When Wednesday, November 11, 2026
Time 09:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

UC Santa Barbara vs Nevada Prediction

In this UC Santa Barbara vs Nevada Prediction, Nevada is coming as -1.5 home favorites. Both teams have been undefeated this season and both have been excellent offensively, almost cracking the top-100 of the entire country and have been averaging 178.5 points per game combined. They both shoot with 50% from the field and both their previous games have been high-scoring ones. Santa Barbara currently has the 24th-best offensive rating in the country, so I expect a high-scoring affair in this one. Take the over the total.

Nevada Wolf Pack Preview

The Nevada Wolf Pack have a 2-0 overall record and a 1-0 home record and a 0-0 road record. They are coming off a 96-95 neutral win against Saint Mary’s and will face Utah Valley and Idaho next.

Offensively, they are averaging 91 points per game (ranking 69th in the nation), while allowing 72 points per game defensively (ranking 189th in the nation) and have a 121.3 offensive rating (ranking 90th) and a 96.0 defensive rating (ranking 160th). The Wolf Pack are shooting 52% from the field (ranking 47th) and 35.1% from beyond the arc (ranking 273rd), while allowing their opponents to shoot with 36.8% from the field (ranking 81st) and 30.2% from the 3-point range (ranking 199th). They are shooting with a 62.7% from the free-throw line (ranking 302nd). They are grabbing 42.5 rebounds per game (ranking 89th) and allow 35 rebounds per game off their opponents (186th), while averaging 23 assists per game (ranking 17th) and allowing their opponents to dish 11.5 assists per game (112th). They average 2 blocks per game (ranking 287th) and 7.5 steals per game (ranking 185th), while committing 10 turnovers per game (ranking 58th) and forcing their opponents into 14.5 turnovers per game (ranking 142nd).

Vaughn Weems leads Nevada in scoring, averaging 23 ppg on 51.5% shooting from the field. Styles Phipps follows with 19 ppg on 76.2% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 5 assists per game. Elijah Price follows with 15 ppg on 52.4% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 9 rebounds per game. Peter Bandelj follows with 9.5 ppg on 42.9% shooting from the field.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Preview

The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos have a 2-0 overall record and a 2-0 home record and a 0-0 road record. They are coming off a 90-67 home win against Oakland and will face UC Merced and Pepperdine next.

Offensively, they are averaging 87.5 points per game (ranking 101st in the nation), while allowing 61 points per game defensively (ranking 62nd in the nation) and have a 131.6 offensive rating (ranking 24th) and a 91.7 defensive rating (ranking 114th). The Gauchos are shooting 50.9% from the field (ranking 65th) and 52.1% from beyond the arc (ranking 2nd), while allowing their opponents to shoot with 43.3% from the field (ranking 225th) and 34.1% from the 3-point range (ranking 255th). They are shooting with a 65.4% from the free-throw line (ranking 263rd). They are grabbing 37.5 rebounds per game (ranking 194th) and allow 29 rebounds per game off their opponents (47th), while averaging 21.5 assists per game (ranking 30th) and allowing their opponents to dish 12 assists per game (138th). They average 5.5 blocks per game (ranking 51st) and 7 steals per game (ranking 209th), while committing 9 turnovers per game (ranking 30th) and forcing their opponents into 15 turnovers per game (ranking 121st).

Viljami Vartiainen leads UC Santa Barbara in scoring, averaging 14 ppg on 52.6% shooting from the field. Aidan Mahaney follows with 11.5 ppg on 53.3% shooting from the field. Eric Dibami follows with 10.5 ppg on 63.6% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 5 rebounds per game. RJ Smith leads the team in assists with 5.5 per game.

Nevada Wolf Pack @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Betting Trends: November 11, 2026

 

2026-27 college basketball handicapper records, ranked by profit (bet to win $100).
RankCapperWonLostWin %Profit (to win $100)
1Brad Francis15478.95%+1010
2Jeremy Conn221166.67%+977
3Rodd Zawacky12763.16%+602
4Jay Yang12666.67%+525
5Big Al McMordie11664.71%+439

See the full rankings: Best College Basketball Handicappers

Why the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos will win

  • UC Santa Barbara has won 34 of its last 38 night games against non-Conference opponents at The Thunderdome.

Why the Nevada Wolf Pack will win

  • Nevada has won eight of its last nine games against non-Conference opponents.
  • UC Santa Barbara has lost three of its last four night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • UC Santa Barbara has lost the first half in three of its last four night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Five of Nevada’s last six road games against the Big West Conference have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
  • Four of UC Santa Barbara’s last five night games have produced a total of 140 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • UC Santa Barbara ranks T24th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (12.5).
  • UC Santa Barbara ranks 24th among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (133.0).
  • Nevada ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for assist to turnover ratio this season (2.30).
  • Nevada ranks T38th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (4.5).

Nick Lagouretos's Pick: Overr 144.5

2026-27 NBA handicapper records, ranked by profit ($100 base bet).
RankCapperWonLostWin %Profit (per $100 bet)
1Jay Briggs362064.29%+1461
2John Ryan14382.35%+1080
3Sean Murphy211558.33%+428
4Stephen Nover9469.23%+427
5Jay Yang302356.60%+421
6Big Al McMordie231954.76%+221
7Ron Romanelli171454.84%+169
8Nick Lagouretos2166.67%+95
9VIP Sports Syndicate121054.55%+87
10Damian Sosh141253.85%+80

See the full Best NBA Handicappers rankings

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