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Nevada vs San Diego State Prediction 3/8/25 College Basketball Picks

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San Diego State (20-8) vs Nevada (16-14)

March 8, 2025 at 10:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego State -6.5 — Over/Under: 132.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Nevada Wolf Pack and San Diego State Aztecs meet on Saturday in college basketball action at Viejas Arena. Here’s a Nevada vs San Diego State prediction. This article will include a Nevada vs San Diego State Pick.

Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Preview

The Nevada Wolf Pack (16-14, 14-16 ATS) were on a four-game winning streak from early to mid-February, but now are going through a bad stretch, having lost four of the previous five. Those defeats came to Colorado State, Boise State, UNLV, and New Mexico while the lone win was against Wyoming. Nevada is 7th in the Mountain West Standings with two wins ahead of San Jose State and 1.5 games behind UNLV.

Nevada averages 72.7 PPG (228th) and allows 67.7 PPG (59th). The Wolf Pack are 368th in rebounds (32.2) and 82nd in assists (15.4). Nick Davidson leads the team with 15.7 PPG, a team-high 6.3 RPG, 2.9 APG, and 1.1 BPG. Kobe Sanders also has 15.7 PPG, 3.6 RPG, a team-high 4.4 APG, and a team-high 1.2 SPG, while Justin McBride chips in 8.4 PPG and 4.4 RPG.

San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs (20-8, 11-16 ATS) are playing in fine form at the moment, winning nine of the previous 12 games. The Aztecs are back home from a two-game road trip on which they beat Wyoming and lost to UNLV. San Diego State is 5th in the Mountain West Standings with a half of a game behind Boise State, who lost to Colorado State last night and now the Aztecs have a chance to secure the No. 4 seed with a W today.

San Diego State is averaging 71.2 PPG (272nd) and is allowing 63.8 PPG (14th). The Aztecs are getting 35.9 RPG (172nd) and dish out 13.0 APG (275th). Nick Boyd is the team’s top performer with 13.0 PPG, 4.0 RPG, a team-high 4.0 APG, and 1.0 SPG. Miles Byrd also has 13.0 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 2.7 APG, a team-high 2.1 SPG, and 1.0 BPG, while BJ Davis contributes 9.1 PPG, 3.0 RPG, and 1.5 SPG.

Total Points Facts


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  • Each of San Diego State’s last five night games against the Mountain West Conference has produced a total of 138+ points.
  • Twenty-three of Nevada’s last 28 night games against the Mountain West Conference have produced a total of 133+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • San Diego State ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (37.9%).
  • San Diego State ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (21.0).
  • Nevada ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (52.4).
  • Nevada ranks 24th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (22.5).

Nevada vs San Diego State Prediction

San Diego State won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the first meeting of the season when the Aztecs dismantled Nevada 69-50 in Vegas. Still, Nevada covered seven of those ten duels, and given the situation in the conference on the final day of the regular season, I am going to skip betting on the winner here. Namely, win or loss, the Aztecs will still face Boise State in the quarterfinals, while the Wolf Pack are already cemented as the No. 7 seed. I expect both sides to be a bit relaxed in this one and produce at least 133 points. I am going with Over even though the trends are suggesting otherwise.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Over 132.5

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