Mt. St. Mary’s vs Fairfield Prediction 2/28/25 College Basketball Picks

The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers and the Fairfield Stags meet Friday in college basketball action from the Alumni Gymnasium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mount St. Mary’s vs. Fairfield prediction.

Matchup History

Mount St. Mary’s won the first meeting between these two teams this season by a final score of 101-94 at home back on December 8th, 2024. The win was Mount St. Mary’s first in five head-to-head meetings with Fairfield.

Mount St. Mary’s Recap

The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers come into this game looking to add to their 79-72 win over Rider last time out to sit at 17-10 on the year. After this game, Mount St. Mary’s will head home for a game against Siena.

Mountaineers Win Four In A Row & Six Of Last Seven

Dola Adebayo leads the Mountaineers in scoring with 12.6 PPG along with 6.3 RPG while Dallas Hobbs has 12.3 PPG with 3.7 RPG and 3.1 APG. Terrell Ard Jr. has 11.5 PPG with 7.5 RPG and 2.3 APG and Jedy Cordilia has 10.3 PPG with 7.4 RPG to cap off the scoring for Mount St. Mary’s in double figures so far this season. Xavier Lipscomb has a team-high 4.3 APG to lead the Mount in the assist department as well this season. Carmelo Pacheco also has 9.1 PPG as well this season. As a team, Mount St. Mary’s is averaging 71.5 PPG on 44.3% shooting from the field, 33.4% from three, and 73.3% from the foul line this season.

Why the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers will win

• Mount St. Mary’s has won each of its last four games.
• Fairfield has lost four of its last five home games.

Fairfield Recap

The Fairfield Stags come into this game looking to add on to their 69-49 win over Rider last time out to sit at 10-17 on the year. After this game, Fairfield will head on the road for a game against Sacred Heart.

Stags Snap Three-Game Losing Skid

Prophet Johnson leads Fairfield in scoring and rebounding with 11.8 PPG and 7.3 RPG as the lone double-digit scorer for Fairfield so far this season. Jamie Bergens also has 9.4 PPG with a team-high 2.8 APG of his own while Peyton Smith has 7.1 PPG with 4 RPG. Louis Bleechmore has 7.2 PPG with 3.7 RPG and Braden Sparks has added 8.6 PPG with 2.6 RPG and 1.9 APG. Deon Perry has also contributed 9.3 PPG and 1.9 APG as well this season. As a team, Fairfield is averaging 67.6 PPG on 40.3% shooting from the field, 32.4% from three, and 72.6% from the foul line so far this season.

Why the Fairfield Stags will win

• The home team has won three of the last four games between Mount St. Mary’s and Fairfield.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last four games between Mount St. Mary’s and Fairfield has produced a total of 148+ points.
• Nine of Mount St. Mary’s’ last 12 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 138 or fewer points.

Mount St. Mary’s vs. Fairfield Prediction

I’m on the Mount in this one. Mount St. Mary’s for me is just the far more stable team playing far better basketball coming into this game, while I still have my concerns with Fairfield offensively. The Stags are fully capable of going through droughts against anyone and it’s been a big reason as to why the Stags have had as many issues as they’ve had up to this point. Mount St. Mary’s is still a decent option in my eyes to win the MAAC tournament, and I think they take a step in that direction with a road win over Fairfield here. Give me Mount St. Mary’s in this one.