Montana State vs Cal Poly Prediction 12/16/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Montana State vs Cal Poly Prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, December 16th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Cal Poly Mustangs Preview

Cal Poly Mustangs have a 5-6 record this season and are sitting on the 7th place of the Big West. They have a 2-1 home record and are coming off an 84-88 home loss against UC Riverside. Their previous three games were a 94-91 away win against Cal State Fullerton, a 87-81 home win against Redlands and an 84-68 home win against Southeast Missouri.

Offensively, Cal Poly averages 82.8 points per game, while allowing 86.3 points per game defensively. The Mustangs shoot with 44% from the field and grab 39.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.5 assists per game. They average 2.6 blocks per game and 6.8 steals per game defensively. Hamad Mousa leads Cal Poly in scoring, with an average of 20.5 points per game, while shooting with 46.8% from the field and 83.8% from the free throw line.

Montana State Bobcats Preview

Montana State Bobcats have a 4-7 record this season and are sitting on the 9th place of the Big Sky. They have a 1-6 away record and are coming off a 57-67 away loss against Oregon State. Their previous three games were a 68-72 away loss against Oral Roberts, a 82-74 home win against Saint Martin’s and an 81-84 away loss against Utah State.

Offensively, Montana State averages 77.2 points per game, while allowing 69.6 points per game defensively. The Bobcats shoot with 47% from the field and grab 33.2 rebounds per game, while dishing out 11.7 assists per game. They average 2.5 blocks per game and 7.5 steals per game defensively. Patrick McMahon leads Montana State in scoring, with an average of 14.5 points per game, while shooting with 46.1% from the field and 73.3% from the free throw line.

Montana State Bobcats @ Cal Poly Mustangs Betting Trends: December 16, 2025

Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win

• Montana State has lost each of its last 10 Tuesday road games against non-Conference opponents.
• The home team has won each of Montana State’s last four games.
• Montana State has lost the first half in five of its last six road games.

Why the Montana State Bobcats will win

• Cal Poly has lost each of its last 12 night games following a home loss.
• Cal Poly has lost the first half in seven of its last eight games against the Big Sky Conference.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Cal Poly’s last six games at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center have produced a total of 161+ points.
• Eight of Montana State’s last nine games have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.

Montana State vs Cal Poly Prediction

In this Montana State vs Cal Poly Prediction, Montana State is coming as -1.5 road favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records this season but Montana State has been terrible on the road with just one win in seven road games. They are also 1-3 in their last 4 games but they have a superior defense, allowing 16.7 points per game fewer than Cal Poly. While they have a weaker offense, scoring 5.6 points per game less, they have a better field goal percentage and are 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 games, so I expect them to get the job done on the road, so take Montana State by -1.5 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Montana State -1.5