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Missouri vs Mississippi State Prediction 2/1/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Mississippi State (16-5) vs Missouri (16-4)

February 1, 2025 at 01:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Mississippi State -5.5 — Over/Under: 149.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Missouri Tigers are visiting the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Saturday, February 1st at the Humphrey Coliseum. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Missouri Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction. We will examine:

The Mississippi State Bulldogs’ recent form and player performance

The Missouri Tigers’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Mississippi State Bulldogs

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Missouri Tigers

Recent betting trends in games played between Missouri Tigers and Mississippi State Bulldogs

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Missouri Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs game

Mississippi State Bulldogs Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs have a 16-5 record this season and are sitting in 10th place in the SEC. Mississippi State is coming off an 84-88 loss to Alabama. The Mississippi State is 9-12 against the spread, and 11-10 in over/under, while playing having an 8-2 home record.

Offensively, Mississippi State is averaging 80.8 points per game, which ranks 44th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 70.4 points per game (143rd). The Bulldogs shoot 46% from the field (122nd) and 32.1% from beyond the arc (279th). The Bulldogs shoot 69.6% from the free-throw line (258th) and are grabbing 38.6 rebounds per game (51st).

Josh Hubbard leads Mississippi State in scoring with an average of 17.3 points and 3 assists, while Claudell Harris adds 10.6 points and 3.1 rebounds. Mississippi State will take on Georgia and Florida after this game.

Missouri Tigers Preview

The Missouri Tigers have a 16-4 record this season and are sitting in third place in the SEC. Missouri is coming off an 82-75 win over Ole Miss. The Tigers are 11-9 against the spread, and 10-10 in over/under, while having a 1-3 road record. 

Offensively, Missouri is averaging 83.2 points per game, which is the 22nd-best in the nation. Defensively, they allow 69 points per game (106th). The Tigers shoot 48.2% from the field (38th) and 37.3% from beyond the arc (43rd). The Tigers shoot 71.9% from the free-throw line (178th) and are grabbing 34.9 rebounds per game (243rd).

Tamar Bates leads Missouri in scoring with an average of 13.5 points and 3 rebounds, while Mark Mitchell adds 13.1 points and 4.9 rebounds.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

  • Missouri has lost each of its last eight games at Humphrey Coliseum.
  • Mississippi State has won each of its last eight home games against Missouri.
  • Mississippi State has won the first half in eight of its last nine games against Missouri.

Why the Missouri Tigers will win

  • Missouri has won each of its last four games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • Mississippi State has lost four of its last five games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Missouri has won the first half in five of its last six games against the Southeastern Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the last nine games between Missouri and Mississippi State have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
  • Each of Missouri’s last six games at Humphrey Coliseum has produced a total of 141 or fewer points.

Missouri Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Head-to-Head

Mississippi State is 8-1 in their last 9 meetings against Missouri, and are 9-1 against the spread in their last 10 meetings. Under is 8-1 in their last 9 meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, Mississippi State won 75-51 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total.

Missouri Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction

In this Missouri Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, Mississippi State is coming as a -5.5 home favorites. Both teams have similar records this season, but the Tigers have been terrible on the road. the Bulldogs have been dominating the Tigers in recent years, but have failed to cover in six consecutive games, while the Tigers are 6-1 against the spread in their last 7. I expect the hosts to keep this close, given their current form, so take the Missouri Tigers and lay the points on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Missouri Tigers +5.5

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