Missouri vs Arkansas Prediction 2/22/25 College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Missouri vs Arkansas Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday,  February 22nd, at the Bud Walton Arena. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Tigers’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Razorbacks’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Missouri

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Penn State

-Recent betting trends in games played between Missouri and Arkansas

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Tigers and Razorbacks. 

What a Turnaround for Missouri

It has been quite the turnaround for a Missouri, and this team is for real. Missouri has won three games in a row, with the biggest win of the year coming in the last game. Missouri’s offense scored 110 points against the Alabama Crismon Tide while shooting 60.3 percent from the field and 39.1 percent from behind the three-point line. Guard Mark Mitchell put up 31 points, three rebounds, and three assists. Caleb Grill also couldn’t be stopped putting up 25 points, 10 rebounds, and three assists. 

Remember last year when Missouri had trouble even winning a conference game? Now they have 20 wins overall and have loaded this team with scorers. Missouri is averaging 83.7 points, the 14th best in the league. Mark Mitchell, Caleb Grill, and Tamar Bates are all averaging 13 points per game. Grill has been lighting it up from deep, shooting 45.7 percent from deep. The game plan for Missouri is pretty simple: they are confident in their offense and believe they can outscore anyone. 

Statement Game for Arkansas?

There has been a lot of bubble talk around Arkansas, and a win here would go a long way in making the NCAA tournament. Arkansas has lost two games in a row, but they have been tough games against Texas A&M and Auburn. On Wednesday against the Tigers, Arkansas scored only 60 points. The defense wasn’t awful, but the lack of scoring really let them down and cost them a chance at another signature win. Arkansas actually shot 45.5 percent from the field but only 15.8 percent from deep. 

Arkansas still sits with a 15-11 record, and at home, they have gone 10-4. Arkansas averages 75.5 points per game, but during conference play, the defense hasn’t stepped up enough, and they will need better defense here. Are they going to hold Missouri to only 65 points? Probably not, but they need to do everything in their power not to let this be an 85 or 90-point shootout. Adou Thiero is averaging 15.8 points while shooting 55.1 percent from the field but only 26.8 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Why Arkansas Will Beat Missouri 

• Missouri has lost seven of its last eight games at Bud Walton Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Arkansas has won each of its last five night games against Missouri at Bud Walton Arena.

Total Points Facts

• Five of Arkansas’ last six home games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.
• Five of Missouri’s last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Bud Walton Arena have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.

Missouri vs Arkansas Prediction

It might not be a popular play, but Arkansas is going to find success here. Yes, Missouri is playing well heading into this game, but overall, on the road, they are under .500. Missouri’s offense has been impressive, but their defense is giving up 70.1 points per game. The SEC hasn’t treated Arkansas well so far this season, but this offense is still filled with a ton of talent. At home straight up, Arkansas sits with a 10-4 record overall, and they still have the home crowd advantage to help them out. Are we getting points with them against a team that hasn’t been great on the road? Yeah, I’m not passing that up. Back Arkansas to cover the spread.