Missouri State vs UT Arlington Prediction 11/15/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Missouri State Bears and the Texas-Arlington Mavericks meet Saturday in college basketball action from College Park Center. Here’s a Missouri State vs Texas-Arlington prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Missouri State vs Texas-Arlington pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Missouri State Bears Betting Preview

Missouri State opened up the season with a win over Missouri Southern State, but they were in trouble early with a 43-40 halftime deficit. The Bears rallied in the second and won it 88-70 by game’s end. Michael Osei-Bonsu put up 22 points with 14 rebounds for a double-double, and Keith Palek had 21 points with six boards and four assists. In game two versus Northwestern Oklahoma State, the Bears had an easier time and went into the locker room with a 55-21 edge. Missouri State posted 51 more points in a 106-57 win. Keith Palek had 20 points with eight assists and seven boards this time, while Darrion Sutton doubled up on 18 points and 11 rebounds. Both Zaxton King and Kobi Williams added 12 points apiece.

Game three was the Bears’ first loss, taking a tough 86-85 result versus Arkansas State. Missouri State was outscored 53-39 in the second half and gave away the game. Michael Osei-Bonsu led the team in the losing effort with a double-double on 21 points, 10 rebounds and four assists. Zaxton King had 18 points with five rebounds and Trey Williams chipped in 14 points with two assists and one rebound in 37 minutes of work on the floor.

Texas-Arlington Mavericks Betting Preview

Over on the Texas-Arlington side, they played UNT Dallas in their opener and jumped out to a dominant 46-14 advantage by the break. TX-Arlington hit a 45-26 run the rest of the way and ended up with an easy win 91-40. Leading the team scorers was Raysean Seamster, who put up 17 points with 15 rebounds. Bahsil Laster added 15 points with four boards and four assists, and both Cash Chavis and Tyran Mason managed 12 points apiece with a combined eight assists and 11 boards in the victory. In game two versus New Mexico, the Mavericks were outgunned. TX-Arlington fell behind 31-19 by the half and limped to the loss 74-56. Raysean Seamster had 17 points with nine boards this time, and Bahsil Laster was the only other player on the team in double-figures with 10 points, two rebounds and 18 minutes.

In their latest effort versus Arlington Baptist on Monday, Texas-Arlington didn’t have much difficulty in a 117-61 blowout victory. Raysean Seamster posted 19 points with six steals in the win, and Casmir Chavis put up 15 points with eight boards. Marcell McCreary added 14 points in the winning effort as well.

Missouri State Bears @ UT Arlington Mavericks Betting Trends: November 15, 2025

Why the UT Arlington Mavericks will win

• Missouri State has lost each of its last seven road games following a home loss.
• UT Arlington Mavericks has won 14 of its last 18 games at College Park Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Missouri State Bears will win

• UT Arlington Mavericks has lost each of its last four games following a home win.

Missouri State vs Texas-Arlington Prediction

I’ll lean toward Missouri State, but you could call this one either way. I’m likely staying away in reality. In any case, the Bears imploded in their latest game versus Arkansas State at JQH Arena this week. Missouri State got out-rebounded 38-31, had a 44-34 deficit on points in the paint and coughed up 11 turnovers in that one—not to mention the 10 missed free throws out of their 37 tries (73 percent). Minor adjustments in any one of those areas could have proven the difference in the one-point loss. As it stands now however, Missouri State will have to gather themselves for a road trip on Saturday. Texas-Arlington is coming off an easy win and will be full of confidence.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Missouri State Bears +3