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Minnesota vs Iowa Prediction 1/21/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Iowa (12-6) vs Minnesota (9-9)

January 21, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Iowa -8.5 — Over/Under: 150.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Golden Gophers are visiting the Iowa Hawkeyes on Tuesday, January 21st at the Carver-Hawkeye Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Iowa Hawkeyes Prediction. We will examine:

The Iowa Hawkeyes’ recent form and player performance

The Minnesota Golden Gophers’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Iowa Hawkeyes

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Minnesota Golden Gophers

Recent betting trends in games played between Minnesota Golden Gophers and Iowa Hawkeyes

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Iowa Hawkeyes game

Iowa Hawkeyes Preview

The Iowa Hawkeyes have a 12-6 record this season and are sitting in 12th place in the Big Ten. The Hawkeyes are coming off a 70-94 loss to UCLA. The Hawkeyes are 9-9 against the spread, and 12-6 in over/under while having a 10-1 home record this season.

Offensively, Iowa is averaging 88.4 points per game, which is the third-best in the nation. Defensively, they allow 78.9 points per game (334th). The Hawkeyes shoot 50.8% from the field, which is the 4th-best in the nation, and 39.7% from beyond the arc (10th). The Hawkeyes shoot 69.2% from the free-throw line (263rd) and are grabbing 32.3 rebounds per game (329th).

Owen Freeman leads Iowa in scoring with an average of 16.7 points and a team-high 6.4 rebounds, while Payton Sandfort adds 16.2 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 3.2 assists.

Minnesota Golden Gophers Preview

The Minnesota Golden Gophers have a 9-9 record this season and are sitting in 18th place in the Big Ten. Minnesota is coming off an 84-81 win over Michigan. The Golden Gophers are 4-12-2 against the spread, and 9-9 in over/under while having a 0-3 road record. 

Offensively, Minnesota is averaging 69.2 points per game, which is 307th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 68.8 points per game (102nd). The Golden Gophers shoot 44.3% from the field (217th) and 32.2% from beyond the arc (269th). The Golden Gophers shoot 63.5% from the free-throw line (354th) and are grabbing 34.7 rebounds per game (256th).

Dawson Garcia leads Minnesota in scoring with an average of 19.1 points and a team-high 7.6 rebounds, while Lu’Cye Patterson adds 11.3 points, 3.7 rebounds, and a team-high 3.7 assists. Minnesota will face Oregon following this one.

Why the Iowa Hawkeyes will win

  • Iowa has won each of its last 14 games at Carver-Hawkeye Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Minnesota has lost each of its last seven road night games against the Big Ten Conference.
  • Iowa has won the first half in 11 of its last 12 games at Carver-Hawkeye Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Minnesota Golden Gophers will win

  • Minnesota has won nine of its last 11 night games after coming off overtime.
  • Iowa has lost three of its last four games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The road team has won the first half in each of the last five games between Minnesota and Iowa.

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Iowa Hawkeyes Head-to-Head

Iowa is 8-1 in their last 9 meetings against Minnesota, but both teams are 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 meetings. Over/under is 5-5 in their last 10 meetings, and in their most recent matchup last season, Iowa won 90-85 at home, not covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Iowa Hawkeyes Prediction

In this Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Iowa Hawkeyes Prediction, Iowa is coming as a -8.5 home favorite. Iowa is rightfully favored, as they have a far better record and superior offense, scoring 19.2 points per game more than Minnesota. Both teams have been playing some higher-scoring games lately, as they are 16-4 to the over in their last 20 games combined, and that alone is a strong indicator that we will witness another high-scoring affair today. Take the over.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 150.5

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