Ohio State Buckeyes guard Gabe Cupps (4) dribbles past Michigan Wolverines guard L.J. Cason (2) during the NCAA men's basketball game at the Schottenstein Center in Columbus on Feb. 8, 2026.
Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Michigan vs Illinois Prediction 2/27/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Michigan Wolverines Illinois Fighting Illini
Team Records 26-2 22-6
Spread -1.5 -118 +1.5 -102
Moneyline -130 +110
Total Over 157.5 (-115) Under 157.5 (-105)
Where State Farm Center, Champaign, IL
When Friday, February 27, 2026
Time 08:00 PM EST
TV FOX

The Michigan Wolverines and the Illinois Fighting Illini will meet on Friday night in a Big Ten matchup at State Farm Center in Champaign, Illinois.

Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview

The Michigan Wolverines enter Tuesday evening’s contest with a 26–2 win‑loss record, including a robust 16-1 mark in conference play and an undefeated 9-0 record on the road. Michigan has posted wins over Oakland, Wake Forest, TCU, Maryland, Rutgers, Middle Tennessee and San Diego State, while losing to the Wisconsin Badgers.

More recently, in the Michigan Wolverines 81–71 victory over the Oregon Ducks last month, Michigan guard Nimari Burnett tallied 15 points (6 of 10 shooting from the field), 12 rebounds, 3 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 steals and 1 block illustrating his ability to lead the Wolverines backcourt.

The Michigan Wolverines are averaging 89.1 points (4th in country) on 51 percent shooting from the field (7th in nation) per game. Shifting our focus to the defensive side of the basketball, the Wolverines are allowing opponents 68.7 points per contest which ranks 41st in the country .

Sophomore forward Morez Johnson Jr. is averaging 14 points, 6.8 rebounds, 1.1 assists and 1 block per game. Junior guard Elliot Cadeau contributes 10 points and 2.9 assists per game, while senior guard Roddy Gayle Jr. adds 9.6 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2 assists per contest. Center Aday Mara provides interior scoring and rebounding for the Wolverines. Mara is averaging 10.8 points and 7.2 rebounds per game.

Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Preview

The Illinois Fighting Illini enter Sunday’s contest with a 22–6 record, including a 13–4 record in conference play and a rather impressive 13-2 record at home. The Illini have compiled wins over Jackson State, Florida Gulf Coast, Texas Tech and the Long Island University Sharks, while dropping games to Alabama and the Connecticut Huskies.

In the Illinois Fighting Illini’s 75–62 victory over the Tennessee Volunteers earlier this season, Illinois forward Tomislav Ivisic posted 16 points, 5 rebounds, 3 assists and 2 blocks, providing the Fighting Illini with a strong presence in the paint.

The Illinois Fighting Illini average 85.1 points (20th in nation) on 46.5 percent shooting from the field and 35.7 percent shooting from three‑point range per game. Defensively, the Illini are allowing opponents 69 points per game which ranks 48th in nation.

Senior guard Kylan Boswell leads the Illinois Fighting Illini averaging 14.3 points, 4.2 rebounds, 3.4 assists and 0.7 steals per game. Junior guard Andrej Stojakovic adds 13.6 points and 4.7 rebounds per game, while junior forward Tomislav Ivisic contributes 10 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest.

Why the Michigan Wolverines will win

•            Michigan center Aday Mara has been solid in the paint. Mara is averaging 10.8 points and 7.2 rebounds per game.

•            Ability to win on the road. The Michigan Wolverines are an undefeated 9-0 on the road this season.

•           Balanced scoring. Michigan has three players averaging over 10 points per game.

Why the Illinois Fighting Illini will win

•            Explosive guard play. Senior guard Kylan Boswell leads the Illinois Fighting Illini averaging 14.3 points, 4.2 rebounds, 3.4 assists and 0.7 steals per game.

•            Frontcourt presence. Junior center Tomislav Ivisic provide rebounding and efficient interior scoring.

•            Momentum. Illinois has won two of the team’s last three games played this season.

Michigan vs. Illinois Prediction

This matchup features the Michigan Wolverines balanced scoring and defensive consistency against an Illinois Fighting Illini team that has played exceptionally well at home this season. In my view, the Fighting Illini’s offensive ceiling and home court edge give the team a clear path to stay within the number here (1.5) and potentially win this contest outright. For the reasons just noted, I am backing the Illinois Fighting Illini plus the 1.5 points in this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Illinois +1.5

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