Michigan State vs Penn State Prediction 12/13/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a Michigan State vs Penn State prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, December 13th at the Bryce Jordan Center in University Park, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview

The Michigan State Spartans are 8-1 (1-0) this season after they lost to Duke by a score of 66-60 in their last game. Michigan State led 34-31 at halftime, but they were outscored 35-26 in the second half for the disappointing loss. The Spartans shot 32% from the field, 36% on three pointers, and 71% on free throws in the game. Carson Cooper led MSU with 16 points and 16 rebounds, while Jaxon Kohler added 14 points and seven rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Michigan State defeated Iowa by a score of 71-52 and North Carolina by a score of 74-58. The Spartans have scored 76.6 points per game with 41.8 rebounds and 19.2 assists per game, while they have allowed 61.0 points against per game this season. Jaxon Kohler is averaging 14.2 points and 9.6 rebounds per game, while Jeremy Fears Jr is averaging 11.6 points and 9.8 assists per game for the Spartans. Michigan State is shooting 45.5% from the field, 72.8% on free throws, and 33.7% on three pointers this season. 

Penn State Nittany Lions Betting Preview

The Penn State Nittany Lions are 8-2 (0-1) this year after they lost to Indiana by a score of 113-72 in their last game. Penn State trailed 58-26 at halftime and they were outscored 55-46 in the second half for the blowout loss. The Nittany Lions shot 46% from the field, 31% on three pointers, and 68% on free throws in the game. Kayden Mingo led Penn State with 19 points and two rebounds, while Freddie Dilione V added 14 points and three rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Penn State defeated Campbell by a score of 87-76 and Sacred Heart by a score of 90-59. The Nittany Lions have scored 82.0 points per game with 31.9 rebounds and 14.0 assists per game, while they have allowed 74.3 points against per game this season. Kayden Mingo is averaging 15.4 points and 4.0 assists per game, while Freddie Dilione V is averaging 13.3 points and 3.6 rebounds per game for the Nittany Lions. Penn State is shooting 50.3% from the field, 71.4% on free throws, and 37.0% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Penn State Nittany Lions will win

• Penn State has won each of its last six games at Bryce Jordan Center when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• Penn State has won the first half in nine of its last 10 games against the Big Ten Conference at Bryce Jordan Center.

Why the Michigan State Spartans will win

• Michigan State has won each of its last seven games when playing with a rest advantage.
• Penn State has lost each of its last five games following a road loss.
• Michigan State has won the first half in eight of its last nine games.

Total Points Facts

• Fourteen of Penn State’s last 16 games against Conference opponents at Bryce Jordan Center have produced a total of 148+ points.
• Five of Michigan State’s last six road games against the Big Ten Conference have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.

Michigan State vs Penn State Prediction 

Penn State comes into this matchup with an 8-2 record on the season, but they just lost by 41 points to Indiana and now have to deal with a very good MSU team. The Nittany Lions are shooting 50% from the field and they have scored at least 87 points in three of their last four. Michigan State picked up their first loss against Duke last time out and they struggled to score in the second half, but they are an elite defensive team. We know the Spartans will struggle to shoot at times, but they should have no problems on the road here. Take MSU to cover.

David Racey's Pick: Michigan State -12.5