Dec 15, 2024; Eugene, Oregon, USA; Oregon Ducks cheerleader performs during the second half against the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks at Matthew Knight Arena. Mandatory Credit: Craig Strobeck-Imagn Images
Craig Strobeck-Imagn Images

Michigan State vs Oregon Prediction 1/20/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Michigan State Spartans Oregon Ducks
Team Records 16-2 8-10
Spread -10.5 -112 +10.5 -108
Moneyline -550 +410
Total Over 140.5 (-105) Under 140.5 (-115)
Where Matthew Knight Arena, Eugene, OR
When Tuesday, January 20, 2026
Time 09:00 PM EST
TV FS1

The Michigan State Spartans and the Oregon Ducks meet Tuesday in college basketball action from Matthew Knight Arena in Eugene. Here’s a Michigan State vs Oregon prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Michigan State vs Oregon pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview

The Spartans opened up their season on a very nice run, winning each of their first eight outings. Following their first loss to Duke on December 6, Michigan State beat Penn State, Toledo, Oakland and Cornell before another loss to Nebraska. Since then it’s been four straight wins over USC, Northwestern, Indiana and Washington, giving Michigan State a 16-2 run over their first 18 games this year.

In the Washington game on Saturday the Spartans exited the locker room with a 39-31 edge. Michigan State kept it up in the second half on a 41-32 run and walked away with a nice road win 80-63 in the end. jeremy Fears led the team on 19 points with five assists and Kur Teng had 11 points with two rebounds. Carson Cooper added 10 points with six rebounds and three assists as well.

Oregon Ducks Betting Preview

Over on the Oregon side, they opened up the year with four straight wins, then hit the skids on a five-game losing streak. The Ducks would recover with wins over UC Davis, Portland, Omaha and Maryland over the next five games, but they’ve since lost four straight versus Rutgers, Ohio State, Nebraska and Michigan in succession. In the first 18 games of the year that makes for an 8-10 overall record.

In the Michigan game on Saturday the Ducks were clinging to a slim 41-40 lead going into the second half. Oregon was outscored 41-30 the rest of the way however, resulting in a loss 81-71 at home. Sean Stewart led the team in the losing effort with 22 points and eight rebounds. Kwame Evans added 18 points with seven boards and TK Simpkins had 12 points and two assists.

Michigan State Spartans @ Oregon Ducks Betting Trends: January 20, 2026

Why the Oregon Ducks will win

  • Oregon has won 11 of its last 14 games at Matthew Knight Arena.
  • Oregon has won the first half in four of its last five games at Matthew Knight Arena.

Why the Michigan State Spartans will win

  • Michigan State has won each of its last 15 games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
  • Oregon has lost 12 of its last 13 night games against AP-ranked opponents.

Michigan State vs Oregon Prediction

I’ll lean toward Michigan State. The Spartans didn’t have a ton of issues versus Washington in a road win over the weekend, shooting a solid 47.7 percent from the field with a 33-26 rebounding edge. Michigan State did get outscored in the paint 42-32, but the Huskies’ 12 turnovers (to the Spartans’ five) helped even things out. That gives Michigan State four straight wins since falling by two on the road to Nebraska, and they’ve scored 76 or more points in all four of those.

As for Oregon, they faded in the second half versus a great Michigan team over the weekend, ultimately shooting 42.2 percent from the field with a 29-25 rebounding deficit and 11 turnovers in the home loss. The Ducks have lost four straight games, giving up 72 or more points in all four and 81 or more points in three of them. Tuesday’s matchup is going to be another tough one for Oregon.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Michigan State Spartans -9.5

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