Nov 14, 2025; Fayetteville, Arkansas, USA; Arkansas Razorbacks guard Darius Acuff Jr (5) shoots in the second half as Samford Bulldogs guard Keaton Norris (3) and forward Jaxon Pollard (22) defend at Bud Walton Arena. Arkansas won 79-75. Mandatory Credit: Nelson Chenault-Imagn Images
Nelson Chenault-Imagn Images

Mercer vs Samford Prediction 2/7/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Mercer Bears Samford Bulldogs
Team Records 15-9 12-12
Where Pete Hanna Center, Homewood, AL
When Saturday, February 7, 2026
Time 06:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article, we will formulate a Mercer vs Samford Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 7th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Samford Bulldogs Preview


The Samford Bulldogs have a 12-12 overall record this season and a 5-6 record in the SoCon. They are coming off an 88-74 away loss against Western Carolina and their previous three games were a 78-73 away win against Furman, a 75-64 home win against Chattanooga and an 88-78 away loss against Wofford.

Offensively, Samford averages 77.7 points per game, while allowing 75.8 points per game defensively. The Bulldogs shoot with 44% from the field and grab 36.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.9 assists per game. They average 3 blocks per game and 4.6 steals per game defensively.

Jadin Booth leads Samford in scoring, with an average of 20.6 points per game, while shooting with 43.8% from the field and 88.9% from the free throw line. Dylan Faulkner is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.8 per game, while Keaton Norris leads the team in assists with 4.6 per game.

Mercer Bears Preview


The Mercer Bears have a 15-9 overall record this season and a 7-4 record in the SoCon. They are coming off a 79-75 away loss against Chattanooga and their previous three games were a 95-81 home win against VMI, a 95-77 home win against UNC Greensboro, an 80-77 away loss against Wofford and an 88-76 home win against Western Carolina.

Offensively, Mercer averages 85.9 points per game, while allowing 75.8 points per game defensively. The Bears shoot with 47% from the field and grab 39.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.2 assists per game. They average 3.7 blocks per game and 8.7 steals per game defensively.

Baraka Okojie leads Mercer in scoring and assists, with an average of 18.8 points per game and 5.8 assists per game, while shooting with 42.7% from the field and 85.1% from the free throw line. Armani Mighty is the team’s leading rebounder with 10.6 per game.

Mercer Bears @ Samford Bulldogs Betting Trends: February 7, 2026


Why the Samford Bulldogs will win

  • Samford has won each of its last 17 games at Pete Hanna Center following a home win.
  • Mercer has lost each of its last four games at Pete Hanna Center.
  • Samford has won the first half in eight of its last nine games against Mercer.

Why the Mercer Bears will win

  • Mercer has won seven of its last nine games.
  • Mercer has won the first half in each of its last 10 games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Samford’s last seven home games have produced a total of 159 or fewer points.
  • Forty of Mercer’s last 48 day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 160 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Samford ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (8.7).
  • Samford ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (11.1%).
  • Mercer ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (64.0).
  • Mercer ranks 28th among Division 1 teams for points per game this season (85.4).

Mercer vs Samford Prediction


In this Mercer vs Samford Prediction, Mercer is coming as -1.5 road favorites. Mercer has been the better team this season and have been in very good form lately, with a 7-2 record in their last 9 games and 7-3 against the spread. Samford has also been playing good basketball lately, as they are 3-1 both straight up and against the spread in their last 4 games, so I see no value on either side. Both teams are 11-5 to the over in their last 16 games combined, with Mercer having the 11th-best offense in the entire nation. I expect a high-scoring affair today, so take the over 162.5 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 162.5

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