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Maryland vs Michigan Prediction 3/5/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Michigan (22-7) vs Maryland (22-7)

March 5, 2025 at 06:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Michigan -1.5 — Over/Under: 154.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Maryland Terrapins and the Michigan Wolverines meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the Crisler Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Maryland vs. Michigan prediction.

Matchup History

These two teams have yet to meet so far this season, but the lone meeting last season resulted in a 64-57 win for the Terrapins on January 11th, 2024. The win made it back-to-back victories for Maryland in this head-to-head matchup.

Maryland Recap

The Maryland Terrapins come into this game looking to add on to their 68-64 win over Penn State last time out to sit at 22-7 on the year. After this game, Maryland will head home to close out the regular season against Northwestern.

Terrapins Win 8th In Their Last 10

Derik Queen leads the Terps in scoring with 15.9 PPG along with 9 RPG while Ja’Kobi Gillespie has 15.1 PPG with a team-high 4.8 APG to lead the Terrapins in the assist department. Rodney Rice has 13.7 PPG and Selton Miguel has 11.9 PPG, while Julian Reese has 13.3 PPG with a team-high 9.4 RPG to lead the Terrapins on the glass and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Maryland so far this season. As a team, Maryland is averaging 82.1 PPG on 47.9% shooting from the field, 36.8% from three, and 75.2% from the foul line this season.

Why the Maryland Terrapins will win

  • Maryland has won five of its last six games.
  • Michigan has lost nine of its last 11 games against AP-ranked opponents at Crisler Center. 

Michigan Recap

The Michigan Wolverines come into this game looking to bounce back from a 93-73 loss at the hands of Illinois in their last game to sit at 22-7 on the year. After this game, Michigan will head on the road to close out its regular season with a date with the Michigan State Spartans in a rivalry matchup.

Wolverines Looking To Rebound

Vladislav Goldin leads the Wolverines in scoring with 16.1 PPG along with 6.4 RPG while Danny Wolf has 12.4 PPG and a team-high 9.7 RPG to lead the Wolverines on the glass, along with 3.7 APG. Tre Donaldson has 11.9 PPG with 3.6 RPG and a team-high 3.9 APG to lead Michigan in the assist department while Roddy Gayle Jr. has 10.2 PPG with 3.8 RPG and 2.5 APG while Nimari Burnett has 10.1 PPG with 3.4 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Michigan so far this season. As a team, Michigan is averaging 79.6 PPG on 48.3% shooting from the field, 34.3% from three, and 71.9% from the foul line this season.

Why the Michigan Wolverines will win

  • Michigan has won each of its last 13 Wednesday games at Crisler Center.
  • Maryland has lost each of its last five games at Crisler Center.

Total Points Facts

  • Twelve of the last 13 games between Maryland and Michigan have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
  • Each of Maryland’s last eight Wednesday games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.

Maryland vs. Michigan Prediction

I’m on the Terrapins here. I think that Michigan being favored at home makes sense, but the problem for the Wolverines is that they haven’t been able to pull away and win any games by margin for weeks now. And what’s also a problem for Michigan is that those close games are turning into losses here and there because of Michigan’s inability to pull away and I worry we could see more of the same here. Michigan has a rare situation with 2 key 7-footers, but Maryland has the size to negate that and compete with Michigan so I’ll take the free bucket with Maryland on the road here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Maryland +1.5

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