Maryland-Eastern Shore vs Arkansas-Little Rock Prediction College Basketball Picks 11/27/24

The Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks are visiting the Little Rock Trojans on Wednesday, November 27th at the Jack Stephens Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks vs Little Rock Trojans Prediction.

Little Rock Trojans Preview

The Little Rock Trojans have a 3-4 record this season and are coming off a 34-92 loss in Illinois. The Trojans are 3-3 against the spread, and 1-5 in over/under, while having a 1-0 home record. 

Offensively, Little Rock is averaging 66.7 points per game, which ranks just 322nd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 74 points per game (245th). The Trojans shoot with 41% from the field (312th), and with 36.6% from beyond the arc (95th). The Trojans shoot with 66.9% from the free-throw line (275th), and are grabbing 33 rebounds per game (317th).

Mwani Wilkinson leads Little Rock in scoring with an average of 15.6 points and 5.6 rebounds, while Jonathan Lawson adds 14.6 points, 6.1 rebounds and 3.4 assists.

Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks Preview

The Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks have a 2-7 record this season and are coming off a 35-109 loss in Arkansas. The Hawks are 4-3 against the spread, and 3-4 in over/under, while they have a 0-7 road record. 

Offensively, Maryland-Eastern Shore is averaging 70.3 points per game, which ranks 294th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 84.2 points per game (352nd). The Hawks shoot with 42.4% from the field (275th), and with 35.5% from beyond the arc (185th). The Hawks shoot with 64.3% from the free-throw line (321st), and are grabbing 34.8 rebounds per game (267th).

Kerton Shaw leads Maryland-Eastern Shore in scoring with an average of 19.8 points, 5.1 rebounds and 3.3 assists, while Christopher Flippin adds 10.1 points and a team-high 6.2 rebounds.

Why the Little Rock Trojans will win

• Maryland-Eastern Shore has lost each of its last 15 road games against non-Conference opponents.
• Little Rock has won each of its last 11 night games at Jack Stephens Center.
• Maryland-Eastern Shore has lost the first half in each of its last 22 road night games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks will win

• Little Rock has lost six of its last eight games against non-Conference opponents.
• Little Rock has lost the first half in 14 of its last 15 Wednesday night games against non-Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• Little Rock ranks T362nd among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (11.0).
• Little Rock ranks 358th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (20.4).

Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks vs Little Rock Trojans Prediction

In this Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks vs Little Rock Trojans Prediction, Little Rock is coming as -16 home favorites. I think the books give too much credit to the home team with this line. Little Rock is actually worse than Maryland-Eastern Shore offensively, scoring 3.6 points less, but are better defensively, allowing 10.2 points less. But the Trojans also have a worse field goal percentage and grab less rebounds per game. I totally expect the road team to keep this one close, so take the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks and lay the points on the road.