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Maine vs UMBC Prediction 1/18/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

UMBC (9-9) vs Maine (11-8)

January 18, 2025 at 01:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: UMBC +0.0001 — Over/Under: 0.0001

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Maine vs UMBC Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, January 18th, at the Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena.  To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Black Bears’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Retrievers’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Maine 

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving UMBC

-Recent betting trends in games played between Maine and UMBC

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Black Bears and Retrievers. 

Maine Have Won Three Straight

Maine has a lot of confidence right now and they have won three games in a row. Two games ago against Albany, they won 87-66, and in the last game against the NJIT Highlanders, they were able to secure the 57-44. At halftime, they were down 26-23, but in the second half they gave up only 18 points and that was enough for the victory. Guard AJ Lopez had a strong game putting up 18 points and two rebounds. Kellen Tynes also put up 18 points, eight assists, and two rebounds. 

Maine sits with an 11-8 record overall and they have gone 10-7 against the spread. Maine is averaging 71.7 points while their defense is giving up 66.3 points per game. The offense is ranked 260th in the league while the defense is ranked 55th in the league. They are shooting 75.99 percent from the free throw line which is 52nd in the league. Guard AJ Lopez is averaging 14.7 points while shooting 47.7 percent from the field and 44 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Why Maine Will Beat UMBC

  • UMBC has lost six of its last seven games against the America East Conference at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena.
  • Maine has won each of its last three games against the America East Conference.

UMBC Fell Just Short

UMBC has been inconsistent heading into this game and they are coming off a loss in the last game. At halftime, they were down 46-38 and although they fought back in the second half they still ended up losing to New Hampshire 79-76. Guard Bryce Johnson had a huge game putting up 33 points, eight rebounds, and two assists. Four different players put up at least 10 points. 

UMBC is averaging 82.9 points while their defense is giving up 76.1 points per game. The offense is ranked 27th in the league while the defense is ranked 294th. They are averaging 62.11 field goals per game which is 59th in the league. They are averaging 38.82 percent from deep which is 20th in the league. Guard Bryce Johnson is averaging 17.8 points while shooting 52.4 percent from the field and 39 percent from behind the three-point line.

Why UMBC Will Beat Maine

  • The home team has won seven of the last eight games between Maine and UMBC.
  • Maine has lost 25 of its last 31 road games against Conference opponents.
  • Maine has lost the first half in five of its last six road games against Conference opponents.

Maine vs UMBC Prediction

Both of these teams have trended towards the over and there is going to be no shortage of scoring in this game. The over has hit 11 of the 15 games so far this season for UMBC and they want to keep the pace slow. UMBC is averaging 82.9 points per game and they are going to have no issue running up the score here. Maine’s defense is going to have no answer, and they will also run up the score here. Back the over to cash here. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Over

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