Long Beach State vs UC San Diego Prediction 3/6/25 College Basketball Picks

The Long Beach State Beach are visiting the UC-San Diego Tritons on Thursday, March 6th at the LionTree Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Long Beach State Beach vs UC-San Diego Tritons Prediction. We will examine:

The UC-San Diego Tritons’ recent form and player performance

The Long Beach State Beach’s recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UC-San Diego Tritons

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Long Beach State Beach

Recent betting trends in games played between the Long Beach State Beach and UC-San Diego Tritons

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Long Beach State Beach vs UC-San Diego Tritons game

UC-San Diego Tritons Preview

The UC-San Diego Tritons have a 26-4 record this season and are sitting in first place in the Big West. UC-San Diego is coming off a 100-55 win over Cal State Fullerton. The Tritons are 23-5 against the spread, and 13-14-1 in over/under, while having a 12-2 home record.

Offensively, UC-San Diego is averaging 81 points per game, which ranks 34th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 62.1 points per game, which is the 9th-best nationally. The Tritons shoot 47% from the field (68th) and 36.9% from beyond the arc (44th). The Tritons shoot 74.4% from the free-throw line (97th) and are grabbing 34 rebounds per game (254th).

Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones leads UC-San Diego in scoring this season, with 19.8 points, 5.3 rebounds, and a team-high 3.4 assists per game, while Tyler McGhie adds 16.5 points and 3.9 rebounds per game.

Long Beach State Beach Preview

The Long Beach State Beach have a 7-23 record this season and are sitting in 10th place in the Big West. Long Beach State is coming off a 60-70 loss to UC Irvine. The Beach are 13-15 against the spread, and 17-11 in over/under, while having a 4-10 road record. 

Offensively, Long Beach State is averaging 67.3 points per game, which ranks just 330th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 74 points per game (245th). The Beach shoot 43.6% from the field (248th) and 35.3% from beyond the arc (109th). The Beach shoot 75% from the free-throw line (75th) and are grabbing 31.5 rebounds per game (337th).

Devin Askew leads Long Beach State in scoring with an average of 18.5 points, 4.7 rebounds, and a team-high 4.7 assists, while TJ Wrainwright adds 13.3 points per game.

Why the UC San Diego Tritons will win

• Long Beach State has lost each of its last 13 games.
• UC San Diego has won each of its last 11 games.
• UC San Diego has won the first half in each of its last eight games against the Big West Conference.

Why the Long Beach State Beach will win

• The road team has won the first half in three of the last four games between Long Beach State and UC San Diego.

Total Points Facts

• Twenty-eight of Long Beach State’s last 34 night games against the Big West Conference have produced a total of 138+ points.
• Four of UC San Diego’s last five games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 145+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• UC San Diego ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (8.8).
• UC San Diego ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+18.9).
• Long Beach State ranks 357th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (53.1).
• Long Beach State ranks 355th among Division 1 teams for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (0.82).

Long Beach State Beach vs UC-San Diego Tritons Prediction

Long Beach State is 4-3 in their 7 meetings against UC-San Diego, but UC-San Diego is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 meetings. Over is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, UC-San Diego won 80-54 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total.

In this Long Beach State Beach vs UC-San Diego Tritons Prediction, UC-San Diego is coming as a -23.5 home favorites. UC-San Diego is rightfully favored, as they have been the superior team this season, and have been extremely strong at home, while Long Beach State is weak on the road. UC-San Diego has been unstoppable this season and is coming in excellent form, with 11 consecutive wins, having covered the spread in all 11 wins. The Tritons have won their most recent home games by 45, 39, 25, and 20 points, and they won their previous meeting against the Beach by 26 points on the road. I expect another huge win at home, so pick the UC-San Diego Tritons and lay the big chalk at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: UC-San Diego Tritons -23.5