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CSU Fullerton vs Cal Poly Prediction 3/6/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Cal Poly (12-18) vs CSU Fullerton (6-24)

March 6, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Cal Poly -14.5 — Over/Under: 162.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Cal State Fullerton Titans are visiting the Cal Poly Mustangs on Thursday, March 6th at the Robert A. Mott Athletics Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cal State Fullerton Titans vs Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction. We will examine:

The Cal Poly Mustangs’ recent form and player performance

The Cal State Fullerton Titans’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cal Poly Mustangs

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cal State Fullerton Titans

Recent betting trends in games played between the Cal State Fullerton Titans and Cal Poly Mustangs

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Cal State Fullerton Titans vs Cal Poly Mustangs game

Cal Poly Mustangs Preview

The Cal Poly Mustangs have a 12-18 record this season and are sitting in 9th place in the Big West. They are coming off a 98-72 win over Cal State Bakersfield. The Mustangs are 14-15 against the spread, and 19-10 in over/under, while having an 8-5 home record.

Offensively, Cal Poly is averaging 81 points per game, which is 34th in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 83.9 points per game, which is the third-worst nationally. The Mustangs shoot with 45.8% from the field (122nd) and with 34.2% from beyond the arc (171st). The Mustangs shoot 76.7% from the free throw line (39th) and are grabbing 35.3 rebounds per game (178th).

Owen Koonce leads Cal Poly in scoring this season, with an average of 17 points and a team-high 5.1 rebounds, while Jarred Hyder adds 13.9 points, 3.4 rebounds, and a team-high 3.1 assists per game.

Cal State Fullerton Titans Preview

The Cal State Fullerton Titans have a 5-24 record this season and are sitting in 11th place in the Big West. They are coming off a 55-100 loss to UC San Diego. The Titans are 8-19-1 against the spread, and 13-15 in over/under while having a 2-14 road record.

Offensively, Cal State Fullerton is averaging just 63.5 points per game, which ranks just 358th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 77 points per game (316th). The Titans shoot 40.4% from the field (355th) and 26.9% from beyond the arc, which is dead last in the nation. The Titans shoot 74.4% from the free-throw line (99th) and are grabbing 33 rebounds per game (305th).

Donovan Oday leads Cal State Fullerton in scoring with an average of 13.2 points, adding a team-high 5.1 rebounds, while Zion Richardson adds 7.6 points and 3.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win

  • Cal State Fullerton has lost each of its last 16 night games against the Big West Conference.
  • Cal Poly has won four of its last five home games.
  • Cal State Fullerton has lost the first half in each of its last 15 night games against the Big West Conference.

Why the Cal State Fullerton Titans will win

  • Cal Poly has lost 18 of its last 19 night games against the Big West Conference at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center.
  • Cal State Fullerton has won six of its last seven games at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center.
  • Cal Poly has lost the first half in each of its last 11 Thursday home games against the Big West Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Cal State Fullerton’s last 15 road games has produced a total of 155 or fewer points.
  • Each of Cal Poly’s last 10 night games against Conference opponents at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center have produced a total of 162 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Cal Poly ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (9.8).
  • Cal Poly ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (16.4).
  • Cal State Fullerton ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for a three-point percentage this season (26.9%).
  • Cal State Fullerton ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (9.0).

Cal State Fullerton Titans vs Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction

Cal State Fullerton is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against Cal Poly, but Cal Poly is 6-3 against the spread in their last 9 meetings. Under is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, Cal Poly won 98-83 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.

In this Cal State Fullerton Titans vs Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction, Cal Poly is coming as a -14.5 home favorites. Cal Poly is rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, and have been above average at home, while Cal State Fullerton has been terrible on the road. Cal Poly has been playing good basketball lately, as they are 4-1 in their last 5 home games and 7-3 against the spread in their last 10. On the other hand, Cal State Fullerton has been on a free fall with 10 consecutive losses, and is 0-8 against the spread in their last 8. Keep it simple, and take the better team, in better form, playing at home. Take the Cal Poly Mustangs and lay the points at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs -14.5

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