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Lindenwood vs Tennessee State Prediction 3/6/25 College Basketball Picks

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Tennessee State (16-15) vs Lindenwood ()

March 6, 2025 at 09:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Tennessee State -4.5 — Over/Under: 146.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Lindenwood Lions and Tennessee State Tigers meet Thursday in the college basketball OVC Championship Quarterfinal at the Ford Center. Here’s a Lindenwood vs Tennessee State Prediction. This article will include a Lindenwood vs Tennessee State Pick.

Lindenwood Lions Betting Preview 

The Lindenwood Lions are coming off wins over Tennessee Tech and Morehead State. Lindenwood has won five of its last seven games and has a chance to get above a .500 record.  

The Lindenwood Lions are averaging 71.6 points on 42.6 percent shooting and allowing 71.6 points on 42.8 percent shooting. Anias Futrell is averaging 12.7 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Jadis Jones is averaging 12.7 points and 5.9 rebounds. Markeith Browning II is the third double-digit scorer and Reggie Bass is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Lindenwood Lions are shooting 28.9 percent from beyond the arc and 67.1 percent from the free throw line. The Lindenwood Lions are allowing 32.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.3 rebounds per game.

Tennessee State Tigers Betting Preview 

The Tennessee State Tigers are coming off wins over Morehead State and Southern Indiana. Tennessee State is 10-3 since starting the season with a 6-12 record.  

The Tennessee State Tigers are averaging 78.7 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 74 points on 41.8 percent shooting. Brandon Weston is averaging 16 points and 4.8 rebounds, while Aaron Nkrumah is averaging 10.9 points and 5.3 rebounds. Carlos Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Travis Harper II is grabbing 4.2 rebounds. The Tennessee State Tigers are shooting 32.3 percent from beyond the arc and 68 percent from the free throw line. The Tennessee State Tigers are allowing 32.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Tennessee State Tigers will win

  • Tennessee State has won each of its last seven night games against the Ohio Valley Conference.
  • Lindenwood (MO) has lost the first half in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Lindenwood Lions will win

  • Lindenwood (MO) has won six of its last seven night games against the Ohio Valley Conference.
  • Tennessee State has lost four of its last five night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of Tennessee State’s last eight night games at Ford Center have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Tennessee State ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (67.7%).
  • Tennessee State ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (24.4).
  • Lindenwood (MO) ranks 34th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (0.86).
  • Lindenwood (MO) ranks 39th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (8.4).

Lindenwood vs Tennessee State Injury Report

Neither Lindenwood nor Tennessee State have a player listed on its injury report.

Lindenwood vs Tennessee State Prediction

Lindenwood and Tennessee State split the two meetings this season, with the home team winning both games. I’ll lean toward Tennessee State in the rubber match. Tennessee State has played its best ball of the season over the last month, flipping its season on its head with wins in 10 of its last 13 tries. Lindenwood has struggled together two nice underdog wins but it’s on the end of a back-to-back and tired legs will kick in eventually. I’ll bank on Tennessee State playing its best ball of the season and the rest advantage. Give me the Tigers to advance to the OVC semifinals.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Tennessee State -4.5

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