Grambling State vs Southern Prediction 3/12/25 College Basketball Picks

The Grambling State Tigers and the Southern Jaguars meet Wednesday in SWAC Tournament college basketball action from the Gateway Center Arena at College Park. Here’s a Grambling vs Southern prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Grambling vs Southern pick. We will examine: 

The Grambling State Tigers’ recent form and player performance

The Southern Jaguars’ recent form and player performance 

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Grambling State Tigers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Southern Jaguars

Recent betting trends in games played between Grambling and Southern

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Grambling vs Southern game

Grambling State Tigers Betting Preview

The Tigers have had a tough season so far, but they’ve managed some decent (and brief) runs. Grambling lost a whopping 13 of their first 16 games though, before hitting a 3-1 stretch that featured victories over Florida A&M, MS Valley State, and AR-Pine Bluff (with a loss to Southern). The Tigers would then go 3-3 over the next six with wins over Alabama A&M, Alabama State, and Prairie View mixed with losses to Jackson State, Alcorn State, and Texas Southern. Since then it’s been a 2-4 run with wins over Alabama A&M (twice) among losses to Southern, Florida A&M, Bethune-Cookman, and Alabama State. That gives the Tigers an 11-21 record over 32 games this year so far. 

On Tuesday versus Alabama A&M, the Tigers were up 41-30 going into the second half. Grambling finished on a 32-26 run for a nice win 73-56. Tops in scoring was Mikale Stevenson with 17 points, two boards and three assists off the bench. 

Southern Jaguars Betting Preview

Over on the Southern side, they weren’t looking so great in the record column when 2025 began but since then they’ve been doing well. The Jaguars opened on a rough 5-8 run, then took a winning streak over Texas Southern, Prairie View, Florida A&M, Bethune-Cookman, Grambling, AR-Pine Bluff, MS Valley State, Alcorn State, Jackson State, and Alabama A&M from there. It’s been a 5-3 run since then with losses to Alabama State, Bethune-Cookman, and Alabama State again alongside wins over Prairie View, Texas Southern, Grambling, Florida A&M, and Alabama A&M. In total that gives the Jags a 20-11 record across 31 outings so far. 

In the Alabama A&M home rematch on Saturday, the Jaguars kicked off the game with a 43-23 advantage. Southern was outscored 34-28 the rest of the way but still won easily 71-57. Tops in scoring was Jordan Johnson with 14 points, one rebound, one assist, and one steal. Michael Jacobs came off the bench for 13 points, three rebounds, and one assist in 19 minutes. 

Why the Southern Jaguars will win

• Southern has won each of its last eight day games against the Southwestern Athletic Conference.
• Grambling State has lost seven of its last nine day games against the Southwestern Athletic Conference.
• Grambling State has lost the first half in three of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Why the Grambling State Tigers will win

• Southern has lost each of its last seven games against Conference opponents at neutral venues.
• Grambling State has won eight of its last nine games against Conference opponents at neutral venues.
• Southern has lost the first half in each of its last four games played at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

• Thirteen of Southern’s last 14 games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 131+ points.
• Each of Grambling State’s last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue has produced a total of 129+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Southern ranks 13th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (15.5).
• Southern ranks T23rd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (53.9).

Grambling vs Southern Prediction 

I’ll stay with Southern in this one. The Jaguars rolled right past Alabama A&M without too much difficulty in their latest outing. Southern shot 44.7 percent from the field with 21-of-27 (77.8 percent) from the line and a 32-26 rebounding edge in that one alongside 18 points off 15 Bulldogs turnovers. Southern did cough up 12 turnovers themselves, however, resulting in 15 Alabama A&M points. Still, it was a nice win to finish off the regular season, especially after the one-point home loss to Alabama State. 

These teams have met twice already, with Southern taking the victory both times. The Jags won 67-60 in a home matchup on January 18 and 71-64 on the roadon  February 22. In that latest matchup, neither team shot particularly well from the field (both under 43 percent), but Southern controlled things with a 34-28 rebounding advantage and 17 points off 10 Grambling turnovers. The Jags can’t rely on mistakes this time around, but I think they’ll still be in line to power one out in a tournament setting here. 

Andrew Jett's Pick: Southern Jaguars -6.5