Dec 20, 2025; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; San Diego State Aztecs guard Miles Byrd (21) against the Arizona Wildcats during the Hall of Fame Series at Mortgage Matchup Center. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images
Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

Fresno State vs San Diego State Prediction 1/10/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Fresno State Bulldogs San Diego State Aztecs
Team Records 7-8 10-4
Spread +14.5 100 -14.5 -120
Moneyline +850 -1450
Total Over 143.5 (-112) Under 143.5 (-108)
Where Viejas Arena, San Diego, CA
When Saturday, January 10, 2026
Time 11:10 PM EST
TV CBSSN

In this article we will formulate a Fresno State vs San Diego State prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, January 10th at Viejas Arena in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Fresno State Bulldogs are 7-8 (1-3) this season after they defeated San Jose State by a score of 70-55 in their last game. Fresno State led 37-24 at halftime, but they only scored 33 points in the second half in the win. The Bulldogs shot 52% from the field, 33% on three pointers, and 71% on free throws in the game. DeShawn Gory led Fresno State with 16 points and 13 rebounds, while Zaon Collins added 14 points and seven assists in the win. 

Prior to that game, Fresno State lost to Nevada by a score of 66-65 and Utah State by a score of 72-63. The Bulldogs have scored 74.1 points per game with 35.7 rebounds and 14.2 assists per game, while they have allowed 70.9 points against per game this season. Jake Heidbreder is averaging 18.1 points and 2.9 rebounds per game, while Zaon Collins is averaging 13.6 points and 5.3 assists per game for the Bulldogs. Fresno State is shooting 45.7% from the field, 72.7% on free throws, and 31.8% on three pointers this season. 

San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs are 10-4 (4-0) this year after they defeated Nevada by a score of 73-68 in their last game. San Diego State trailed 36-34 at halftime, but they won the second half 39-32 for the comeback win. The Aztecs shot 52% from the field, 24% on three pointers, and 68% on free throws in the game. Miles Byrd led SDSU with 14 points and five assists, while Miles Heide added 10 points and seven rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, San Diego State defeated Boise State by a score of 110-107 and San Jose State by a score of 81-68. The Aztecs have scored 83.3 points per game with 36.9 rebounds and 17.1 assists per game, while they have allowed 74.3 points against per game this season. BJ Davis is averaging 12.8 points and 3.6 rebounds per game, while Reese Dixon-Waters is averaging 10.9 points and 3.2 rebounds per game for the Aztecs. San Diego State is shooting 48.7% from the field, 73.7% on free throws, and 39.2% on three pointers this year. 

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

  • San Diego State has won each of its last 10 night games against Fresno State.
  • Fresno State has lost each of its last 14 Saturday games against the Mountain West Conference.
  • Fresno State has lost the first half in 15 of its last 18 road night games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Nine of the last 10 night games between Fresno State and San Diego State have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.
  • Each of Fresno State’s last four night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.

Fresno State vs San Diego State Prediction 

San Diego State comes into this matchup as a big favorite to get the win, but they have played in back to back close games with Nevada and Boise State. The Aztecs are shooting 49% from the field and they have scored 81+ points in three of their last four. Fresno State snapped their losing streak with a win over San Jose State in their last game and they have allowed 66 and 55 points in their last two. The Bulldogs are shooting 46% from the field and they have covered this number in all but one of their losses this year. Take the points with Fresno State here.

David Racey's Pick: Fresno State +14.5

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