Fresno State vs New Mexico Prediction 1/21/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Fresno State Bulldogs and New Mexico Lobos meet Wednesday in the college basketball action at The Pit. Here’s a Fresno State vs New Mexico Prediction. This article will include a Fresno State vs New Mexico Pick.

Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Fresno State Bulldogs beat Colorado State and Wyoming, and they play Grand Canyon next. Fresno State has won 3 of its last 4 games.

The Fresno State Bulldogs are averaging 72.5 points on 44.6 percent shooting and allowing 70.2 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Jake Heidbreder is averaging 17.6 points and 2.6 rebounds, while Zaon Collins is averaging 12.9 points and 5 assists. DeShawn Gory is the third double-digit scorer and Wilson Jacques is dishing 1.4 assists. The Fresno State Bulldogs are shooting 31.3 percent from beyond the arc and 74.4 percent from the free throw line. The Fresno State Bulldogs are allowing 27.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.6 rebounds per game.

New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview

The New Mexico Lobos beat Grand Canyon, lost to San Diego State, and they play Nevada next. New Mexico has won 11 of its last 13 games.

The New Mexico Lobos are averaging 80.7 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 67.2 points on 40.1 percent shooting. Jake Hall is averaging 14.7 points and 3.1 rebounds, while Tomislav Buljan is averaging 11.9 points and 9.8 rebounds. Deyton Albury is the third double-digit scorer and Uriah Tenette is grabbing 2.9 rebounds. The New Mexico Lobos are shooting 34.5 percent from beyond the arc and 75.6 percent from the free throw line. The New Mexico Lobos are allowing 28.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.4 rebounds per game.

Why the New Mexico Lobos will win

• New Mexico has won each of its last 21 games at The Pit against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Fresno State has lost 10 of its last 11 road night games against the Mountain West Conference.
• Fresno State has lost the first half in 16 of its last 19 road night games against the Mountain West Conference.

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

• Fresno State has won three of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Fresno State’s last 10 Wednesday night games against the Mountain West Conference have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.
• Five of New Mexico’s last six games against Conference opponents at The Pit have produced a total of 148+ points.

Fresno State vs New Mexico Prediction

New Mexico is rolling at both ends of the floor, is undefeated at home, and has covered 9 of its last 10 games. The Lobos look the part. However, Fresno State has covered 5 of its last 6 games and is fresh off upset wins over Colorado State and Wyoming. Fresno State is defending well and also nearly upset Nevada. Fresno State is top-100 in scoring defense and top-10 at defending the deep ball. The Bulldogs aren’t going to roll over here. I expect a competitive game. Give me the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Fresno State +14.5