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Florida vs Missouri Prediction 1/3/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Florida Gators | Missouri Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 9-4 | 10-3 |
| Where | Mizzou Arena, Columbia, MO | |
| When | Saturday, January 3, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:30 PM EST | |
| TV | SEC Network | |
Missouri Tigers Preview
Missouri Tigers have a 10-3 record this season and are tied for 6th place in the SEC. They have a 9-0 home record and are coming off a 91-48 home loss against Illinois. Their previous three games were an 82-60 home win against Bethune-Cookman, an 85-77 home win against Alabama State and an 80-60 home loss against Kansas.
Offensively, Missouri averages 83.8 points per game, while allowing 71.5 points per game defensively. The Tigers shoot with 52% from the field and grab 37.2 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.1 assists per game. They average 3.2 blocks per game and 8.2 steals per game defensively.
Mark Mitchell leads Missouri in scoring, with an average of 17.2 points per game, while shooting with 58.6% from the field and 68.8% from the free throw line. Mark Mitchell is also the team’s leading rebounder with 5.8 per game, while Anthony Robinson II adds a team-high 3.4 assists per game.
Florida Gators Preview
Florida Gators have a 9-4 record this season and are tied for 11th place in the SEC. They have a 0-1 away record and are coming off a 94-72 home win against Dartmouth. Their previous three games were a 90-60 home win against Colgate, a 102-61 home win against Saint Francis (PA) and an 80-70 home win against George Washington.
Offensively, Florida averages 85.1 points per game, while allowing 70.4 points per game defensively. The Gators shoot with 46% from the field and grab 47.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.2 assists per game. They average 5.1 blocks per game and 5.9 steals per game defensively.
Thomas Haugh leads Florida in scoring, with an average of 16.7 points per game, while shooting with 47.3% from the field and 72.2% from the free throw line. Rueben Chinyelu is the team’s leading rebounder with 10.9 per game, while Alex Condon adds a team-high 3.7 assists per game.
Florida Gators @ Missouri Tigers Betting Trends: January 3, 2026
Why the Missouri Tigers will win
- Missouri has won each of its last 18 night games at Mizzou Arena.
- Florida has lost three of its last four January night games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
- Missouri has won the first half in each of its last eight home games.
Why the Florida Gators will win
- Florida has won each of its last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Missouri has lost each of its last four games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Florida has won the first half in each of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Missouri’s last nine games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 158+ points.
- Seven of Florida’s last eight games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 159+ points.
Florida vs Missouri Prediction
In this Florida vs Missouri Prediction, Florida is coming as -6.5 road favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records, but Missouri has been undefeated at home and this will be their 10th home game out of their 14 games played. Florida has lost its only road game this season and has been bad against the spread, with a 3-6 record in its last 9 games, so the value here lies with the home dog. Take Missouri and get the +6.5 points at home.
