Florida State vs Miami (FL) Prediction 1/20/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Miami Hurricanes and the Florida State Seminoles will meet on Tuesday night in an ACC matchup at the Watsco Center in Coral Gables, Florida.

Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview

The Florida State Seminoles enter Tuesday night’s contest with a 7–11 win-loss record, including an 0–5 mark in conference play and an 0-4 record on the road. The Seminoles have compiled wins over Alcorn State, Alabama State, Tennessee‑Martin, Georgia Southern, and CSU Bakersfield, while dropping games to Florida, Georgia, Texas A&M, Houston and the Dayton Flyers. In the Florida State Seminoles 98–72 win over the Georgia Southern Eagles earlier this season, Florida State guard Lajae Jones tallied 36 points, 3 steals, 2 assists and 1 block illustrating his ability to lead the Seminoles backcourt.

The Florida State Seminoles average 82.3 points (58th in country) on 42.2 percent shooting from the field and 31.5 percent shooting from three‑point range per game. Defensively, the Seminoles are allowing opponents 81.3 points on 45.9 percent shooting from the field per game.

Senior guard Robert McCray V leads the Florida State Seminoles backcourt averaging 13.6 points, 3.8 rebounds, 6.5 assists and 1.3 steals per game. Senior guard Lajae Jones adds 11.1 points, 4.9 rebounds, 1.3 steals and 1 block per contest. Senior forward Alex Steen anchors the paint averaging 6.9 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1 block per game.

Miami Hurricanes Betting Preview

The Miami Hurricanes enter Tuesday’s contest with a 15–3 overall record, including a 4–1 mark in conference play and an 11–0 record at home. Miami has compiled wins over Notre Dame, Washington, Oregon and the Illinois Fighting Illini, while dropping games to Duke, Clemson and Wisconsin. More recently, in the Miami Hurricanes dominant 81-69 over the Notre Dame Fighting Irish six days ago, Miami guard Tre Donaldson amassed 23 points (8 of 14 shooting from the field), 2 rebounds, 5 assists and 3 steals showcasing his ability to play at a high level.  

The Miami Hurricanes are averaging 86.2 points (24th in nation) on 51% shooting from the field per game which ranks 12th in the country. Shifting our focus to the defensive side of the basketball, the Hurricanes are allowing opponents 69.2 points per contest.

Senior forward Matthew Reneau leads the Hurricanes, averaging 19.8 points on 56.4% shooting, along with 6.4 rebounds per game. Senior forward Ernest Udeh Jr. adds 6.8 points and 10.4 rebounds per contest anchoring the Miami frontcourt. Guard Tre Donaldson contributes 16.3 points, 3.4 rebounds and 6.5 assists per game.

Why the Florida State Seminoles Will Win

• Quality scoring. Florida State guards Robert McCray V and Lajae Jones combine for over 24 points per game.

• Frontcourt play. Senior forward Alex Steen anchors the paint for the Seminoles averaging 6.9 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1 block per game

Why the Miami Hurricanes Will Win

• Home court dominance. Miami is 11–0 at home this season.

• Offensive efficiency. The Miami Hurricanes are averaging 86.2 points per game which ranks 24th in the nation.

• Defensive edge. The Miami Hurricanes are allowing opponents 69.2 points per contest. Conversely, the Seminoles are allowing opponents 81.3 points per game.

Florida State Seminoles vs. Miami Hurricanes Prediction

This matchup features Miami’s elite offensive efficiency, quality offense and perfect home record (11-0) against a Florida State team that has struggled on both sides of the floor all season. The Florida State Seminoles high-paced offense could give them a chance to stay competitive, but I just don’t think the Seminoles can compete with Miami for 40 minutes. For the reasons just noted, I am backing the Hurricanes to win tomorrow’s game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Miami Hurricanes -11.5