Dayton vs Virginia Prediction 12/6/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Dayton Flyers and Virginia Cavaliers meet Saturday in the college basketball action at the Spectrum Center. Here’s a Dayton vs Virginia Prediction. This article will include a Dayton vs Virginia Pick.

Dayton Flyers Betting Preview

The Dayton Flyers beat East Tennessee State, lost to BYU, and they play North Florida next. Dayton has won 6 of its last 7 games.

The Dayton Flyers are averaging 80 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 70.4 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Javon Bennett is averaging 16 points and 2 rebounds, while De’Shayne Montgomery is averaging 5.8 points and 3 assists. Amael L’Etang is the third double-digit scorer and Keonte Jones is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Dayton Flyers are shooting 33.5 percent from beyond the arc and 72.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Dayton Flyers are allowing 38.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.8 rebounds per game.

Virginia Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Virginia Cavaliers beat Queens and Texas, and they play Maryland Eastern Shore next. Virginia has won 7 of its last 8 games.

The Virginia Cavaliers are averaging 87.8 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 67.8 points on 39.1 percent shooting. Thijs De Ridder is averaging 17.6 points and 5.6 rebounds, while Malik Thomas is averaging 13.1 points and 2.1 assists. Chance Mallory is the third double-digit scorer and Sam Lewis is grabbing 4.1 rebounds. The Virginia Cavaliers are shooting 37.9 percent from beyond the arc and 68.3 percent from the free throw line. The Virginia Cavaliers are allowing 31 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Virginia Cavaliers will win

• Virginia has won eight of its last nine games against the Atlantic 10 Conference.
• Dayton has lost six of its last eight games played at neutral venues.
• Dayton has lost the first half in each of its last three day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Why the Dayton Flyers will win

• Dayton has won seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Virginia has lost three of its last four games against non-Conference opponents at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

• Thirty of Virginia’s last 32 games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.
• Five of Dayton’s last six games have produced a total of 148+ points.

Dayton vs Virginia Prediction

Virginia is always a tough out at home and has some bite offensively for a change. Virginia should be favored. However, Dayton can score the basketball and is a tough-minded team that’s not easily spooked. Dayton upset Marquette and went toe to toe with BYU. The Dayton Flyers will go into this game believing they can win. This should be a tight one down the stretch. I want the points in my back pocket.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Dayton +6.5