Dayton vs Richmond Prediction 3/3/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Dayton vs Richmond Prediction for this college basketball game on Tuesday, March 3rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Richmond Spiders Preview

The Richmond Spiders have a 15-14 overall record and a 5-11 record in the A-10. They are coming off a 69-66 road loss against Loyola Chicago and their previous three games were a 99-94 home win against St. Bonaventure, a 65-63 road loss against Davidson and a 78-67 home loss against VCU.

Offensively, Richmond averages 77.6 points per game, while allowing 74 points per game defensively. The Spiders shoot with 45% from the field and grab 33.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.4 assists per game. They average 2.4 blocks per game and 7.2 steals per game defensively.

AJ Lopez leads Richmond in scoring, with an average of 13.5 points per game, while shooting with 47.2% from the field and 86% from the free throw line. Mike Walz is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.6 per game. Will Johnston leads the team in assists with 2.3 per game.

Dayton Flyers Preview

The Dayton Flyers have a 20-9 overall record and an 11-5 record in the A-10. They are coming off a 68-66 road win against George Washington and their previous three games were a 77-62 home win against Saint Louis, a 78-66 home win against Duquesne and an 82-67 road win against George Mason.

Offensively, Dayton averages 75.9 points per game, while allowing 70.6 points per game defensively. The Flyers shoot with 45% from the field and grab 32.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.5 assists per game. They average 4.2 blocks per game and 8.9 steals per game defensively.

Javon Bennett leads Dayton in scoring, with an average of 16.2 points per game, while shooting with 38.8% from the field and 90.2% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 3.1 assists. Amaël L’Etang is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.9 per game.

Dayton Flyers @ Richmond Spiders Betting Trends: March 3, 2026

Why the Richmond Spiders will win

• Richmond has won 10 of its last 12 night games at Robins Center.
• Dayton has lost four of its last five road games following a road win.

Why the Dayton Flyers will win

• Dayton has won seven of its last eight night games against Richmond.
• Richmond has lost nine of its last 11 games.
• Dayton has won the first half in each of its last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last five games between Dayton and Richmond have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.
• Four of Dayton’s last five games have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.

Dayton vs Richmond Prediction  

In this Dayton vs Richmond Prediction, Dayton is coming as -5.5 road favorites. Dayton has been the better team this season and have been in excellent form lately with five consecutive wins. On the flip side, Richmond is struggling mightily with a 2-8 record in its last 10 games and have been struggling against Dayton historically, as they are 3-7 in their last 10 head-to-head matches. Take Dayton to get the job done on the road and cover the points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Dayton -5.5