Dayton vs George Washington Prediction College Basketball Picks 1/4/25

Pick details

George Washington (11-3) vs Dayton (11-3)

January 4, 2025 at 12:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: George Washington +8.5 / Dayton -8.5 — Over/Under: 145.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Dayton vs George Washington prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, January 4th at the Charles E. Smith Center in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Dayton Flyers Betting Preview

The Dayton Flyers are 11-3 (1-0) this year after they defeated La Salle by a score of 84-70 in their last game. Dayton led 36-21 at halftime, but they did allow 49 points in the second half in the win. The Flyers shot 47.7% from the field, 28% on three-pointers, and 71.4% on free throws in the game. Malachi Smith led Dayton with 20 points and six assists, while Javon Bennett added 12 points and five rebounds in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Flyers lost to Cincinnati by a score of 66-59 but did beat UNLV by a score of 66-65 before that. Dayton has won six of their last seven games, including wins over UConn and Marquette. Dayton has scored 77.6 points per game and they have allowed 67.4 points per game, while also averaging 35.4 rebounds and 17.0 assists per game this season. Nate Santos is averaging 13.6 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 1.6 assists per game, while Enoch Cheeks is averaging 13.6 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 1.5 assists per game this year. Dayton is shooting 48.7% from the field, 71.5% on free throws, and 35.2% on three-pointers this season. 

George Washington Revolutionaries Betting Preview

The George Washington Revolutionaries are 11-3 (0-1) this season after they lost to Richmond by a score of 66-61 in their last game. George Washington trailed 29-21 at halftime, but they did score 40 points in the second half in the loss. The Revolutionaries shot 33.3% from the field, 31.3% on three-pointers, and 78.9% on free throws in the game. Gerald Drumgoole Jr. led George Washington with 27 points and three rebounds, while Darren Buchanan Jr. added 11 points and nine rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Revolutionaries defeated a non-D-1 team by a score of 102-62 and Lafayette by a score of 82-62. George Washington has won four of their last five games and seven of their last nine, but they also have losses against Kansas State and American. George Washington has scored 78.5 points per game and they have allowed 67.4 points per game, while also averaging 36.6 rebounds and 14.2 assists per game this season. Darren Buchanan Jr. is averaging 15.1 points, 7.4 rebounds, and 2.9 assists per game, while Gerald Drumgoole Jr. is averaging 13.8 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 1.4 assists per game this year. George Washington is shooting 46.2% from the field, 72% on free throws, and 32.5% on three-pointers this season. 

Why Dayton will beat George Washington

  • Dayton has won each of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • George Washington has lost each of its last eight day games against Conference opponents.
  • George Washington has lost the first half in 10 of its last 11 games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Dayton’s last 12 Saturday road games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.
  • Each of George Washington’s last four day games against Conference opponents has produced a total of 138 or fewer points.

Dayton vs George Washington Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup with 11-3 records to start the season, but Dayton has been the much more impressive team. The Flyers have wins over Northwestern, UConn, and Marquette while losing to North Carolina and Iowa State by a combined seven points. Dayton is shooting 48.7% from the field and they have allowed 65 points or fewer in three of their last five games. George Washington opened conference play with a loss to Richmond and they don’t really have any impressive victories this year, but they do have a bad loss against American. This Dayton team is battle-tested and I think their difficult schedule will prepare them for games like this on the road. Take the Flyers here. 

David Racey's Pick: Dayton -8.5

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