Dayton vs George Mason Prediction 2/18/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Dayton Flyers and the George Mason Patriots meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the EagleBank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Dayton Flyers vs. George Mason Patriots prediction.

Dayton Flyers Recap

The Dayton Flyers come into this game looking to add on to their 70-59 win over Davidson last time out to sit at 16-9 this season. After this game, Dayton will head home for a game against Duquesne.

Flyers Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Javon Bennett leads the Flyers in scoring and assists with 15.7 PPG and 3.2 APG while De’Shayne Montgomery has 14.9 PPG with 3.8 RPG and 2.2 APG along with 2.6 SPG. Amael L’Etang has 11.2 PPG along with 5.6 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Dayton so far this season. Keonte Jones also has 8.3 PPG with a team-high 5.6 RPG as well to lead Dayton in rebounding up to this point in the year. As a team, Dayton is averaging 75.8 PPG on 44.7% shooting from the field, 32.8% from three and 75.7% from the foul line this season.

George Mason Patriots Recap

The George Mason Patriots come into this game looking to bounce back from their 72-53 loss to George Washington last time out to sit at 21-5 this season. After this game, George Mason will head on the road for a game against Saint Joseph’s.

Patriots Drop Back-To-Back Games

Kory Mincy leads the Patriots in scoring with 15.2 PPG with 3.5 RPG and 3.2 APG while Riley Allenspach has 13.1 PPG with a team-high 6 RPG to lead George Mason in rebounding. Jahari Long has 11.6 PPG with 3.4 RPG and a team-high 3.8 APG to lead the Patriots in assists and Fatt Hill has 10.8 PPG with 3.6 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for George Mason so far this season. Masai Troutman has 8.5 PPG with 3.4 RPG as well on the year. As a team, George Mason is averaging 74.5 PPG on 47.8% shooting from the field, 34% from three and 72.5% from the foul line this season.

Dayton Flyers @ George Mason Patriots Betting Trends: February 18, 2026

Why the George Mason Patriots will win

• George Mason has won 31 of its last 33 games at EagleBank Arena.
• Dayton has lost each of its last four road games.
• The home team has won the first half in each of Dayton’s last eight games.

Why the Dayton Flyers will win

• George Mason has lost each of its last three night games.
• Dayton has won 10 of its last 13 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• George Mason has lost the first half in each of its last nine night games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of George Mason’s last four home games have produced a total of 136 or fewer points.
• Each of Dayton’s last four night games have produced a total of 142+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• George Mason ranks T356th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (53.0).
• George Mason ranks 23rd among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (30.8).
• Dayton ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (15.6).
• Dayton ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (19.6).

Dayton Flyers vs. George Mason Patriots Prediction

I’m on George Mason here. I get the case to be made for Dayton in this game, as this is a big game for Dayton to keep their tournament hopes alive in the event that they can steal a bid to the NCAA tournament. However, this isn’t the same Dayton team that’s been a money maker in past seasons, and George Mason’s been really strong at home this season. I’ll roll with the Patriots here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: George Mason -1.5