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Dayton vs Cincinnati Prediction College Basketball Picks 12/20/24
Pick details
Cincinnati (8-1) vs Dayton (10-2)
December 20, 2024 at 08:30 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati -3.5 / Dayton +3.5 — Over/Under: 139
The Cincinnati Bearcats and Dayton Flyers meet Friday in college basketball action at the Heritage Bank Center. Here’s a Dayton vs Cincinnati Prediction. This article will include a Dayton vs Cincinnati Pick.
Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Bearcats beat Howard and Xavier, and they play Grambling, Kansas State, and Arizona next. The Cincinnati Bearcats are averaging 80.4 points on 50.3 percent shooting and allowing 59.7 points on 37.6 percent shooting. Simas Lukosius is averaging 16 points and 3.4 assists, while Jizzle James is averaging 12.3 points and 3.8 rebounds. Dillion Mitchell is the third double-digit scorer and Dan Skillings Jr. is grabbing 5.3 rebounds. The Cincinnati Bearcats are shooting 37.9 percent from beyond the arc and 62.1 percent from the free throw line. The Cincinnati Bearcats are allowing 28.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.2 rebounds per game.
Dayton Flyers Betting Preview
The Dayton Flyers beat Marquette and UNLV, and they play La Salle, George Washington, and UMASS next. The Dayton Flyers are averaging 78.8 points on 49.5 percent shooting and allowing 67.3 points on 42.4 percent shooting. Enoch Cheeks is averaging 14.7 points and 7.5 rebounds, while Nate Santos is averaging 13.8 points and 1.5 assists. Zed Key is the third double-digit scorer and Malachi Smith is grabbing 2.5 rebounds. The Dayton Flyers are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 70.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Dayton Flyers are allowing 32.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.7 rebounds per game.
Why the Dayton Flyers will win
- Dayton has won nine of its last 10 night games.
- Cincinnati has lost 20 of its last 25 games against AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
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- Each of Dayton’s last four games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue has produced a total of 146+ points.
- Each of Cincinnati’s last four night games against AP-ranked opponents has produced a total of 127 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Dayton ranks T17th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.0).
- Dayton ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (12.1%).
- Cincinnati ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (59.6).
- Cincinnati ranks 355th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (62.1%).
Dayton vs Cincinnati Prediction
The Cincinnati Bearcats might be the more talented team with an improved offense to go with a physical defense, but they’ve also failed to cover their last four games. The Dayton Flyers are explosive offensively and just find ways to compete. We’ve also seen Dayton as an underdog this season, and that’s resulted in an upset win over UCONN and down-to-the-wire games against North Carolina and Iowa State. Dayton doesn’t go down easy and could steal this game outright as well. I’ll take my chances with the points and Dayton in the biggest CBB game on Friday’s card.
