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Colorado vs Villanova Prediction 4/1/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
Villanova (19-14) vs Colorado (14-20)
April 1, 2025 at 08:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Villanova -3.5 — Over/Under: 141.5
The Colorado Buffaloes are facing the Villanova Wildcats on Tuesday, April 1st at the MGM Grand Garden Arena, in this College Basketball Crown first round matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Colorado Buffaloes vs Villanova Wildcats Prediction. We will examine:
The Villanova Wildcats recent form and player performance
The Colorado Buffaloes recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Villanova Wildcats
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Colorado Buffaloes
Recent betting trends in games played between the Colorado BuffaloesvsVillanova Wildcats
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Colorado Buffaloes vs Villanova Wildcats game
Villanova Wildcats Preview
The Villanova Wildcats have a 19-14 record this season and were placed 6th in the Big East. The Wildcats are coming off a 56-73 loss by Connecticut. The Wildcats are 17-16 against the spread, and 19-14 in over/under.
Offensively, Villanova is averaging 73.4 points per game, which ranks 171st in the nation. Defensively, they allow 67.5 points per game (57th). The Wildcats shoot with 46.2% from the field (84th), and with 39.8% from beyond the arc, which is the second-best in the nation. The Wildcats shoot with 80% from the free-throw line, which is the second-best in the nation, and are grabbing 30.4 rebounds per game (260th).
Eric Dixon leads Villanova in scoring with an average of 23 points and 5.2 rebounds, while Wooga Poplar adds 14.5 points and a team-high 6.9 rebounds per game.
Colorado Buffaloes Preview
The Colorado Buffaloes have a 14-20 record this season and were placed 16th in the Big 12. Colorado is coming off a 68-77 loss by Houston. The Buffaloes are 17-17 against the spread, and 15-18-1 in over/under.
Offensively, Colorado is averaging 69.9 points per game, which ranks 282nd in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 71.5 points per game (181st). The Buffaloes shoot with 44.6% from the field (175th), and with 32.2% from beyond the arc (292nd). The Buffaloes shoot with 75.4% from the free throw line (78th), and are grabbing 31.9 rebounds per game (173rd).
Julian Hammond leads Colorado scoring this season, with an average of 12.5 points and a team-high 3.2 assists, while Andrej Jakimovksi adds 10.4 points and a team-high 5 rebounds per game.
Why the Colorado Buffaloes will win
- Colorado has won each of its last eight night games against non-Conference opponents.
- Villanova has lost four of its last five games against the Big 12 Conference at neutral venues.
- Colorado has won the first half in four of its last five night games against non-Conference opponents.
Why the Villanova Wildcats will win
- Colorado has lost each of its last 10 night games.
- Villanova has won 23 of its last 25 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
- Colorado has lost the first half in each of its last eight night games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Villanova’s last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 129 or fewer points.
- Ten of Colorado’s last 11 games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Colorado ranks 355th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (18.8%).
- Villanova is the only team to ranks in the top-five for both three-point percentage and free throw percentage this season.
- Villanova ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for three-point percentage this season (39.8%).
Colorado Buffaloes vs Villanova Wildcats Prediction
In this Colorado Buffaloes vs Villanova Wildcats Prediction, Villanova is coming as -3-point favorites. Villanova is rightfully favored, as they have a much better record this season, and are up against a Colorado team that has been winless on the road this season. Villanova is better both offensively and defensively, and are shooting the ball better than Colorado.
Villanova is 4-2 in their last 6 games and 6-4 against the spread in their last 10, numbers which are not eye-popping. Colorado is 3-1 in their last 4 games but 3-4 in their last 7. They have been great against the spread, as they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. Many conflicting trends here, so I’m going to pass on the side. Both teams are below the nation average offensively, while Villanova is a top-60 defensive team. Both teams are 9-6 to the under in their last 15 games combined, so I like another low-scoring game today. Take the under 141 points.