Colorado State vs San Diego State Prediction 3/12/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Colorado State Rams and San Diego State Aztecs meet Thursday in the college basketball MWC Tournament at the Thomas & Mack Center. Here’s a Colorado State vs. San Diego State prediction. This article will include a Colorado State vs. San Diego State pick.

Colorado State Rams Betting Preview

The Colorado State Rams lost to Boise State and beat Fresno State. Colorado State has won 9 of its last 10 games.

The Colorado State Rams are averaging 76.8 points on 49.8 percent shooting and allowing 71.4 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Brandon Rechsteiner is averaging 12.3 points and 2.2 rebounds, while Kyle Jorgensen is averaging 12.1 points and 4.2 rebounds. Josh Pascarelli is the third double-digit scorer and Carey Booth is grabbing 5.6 rebounds. The Colorado State Rams are shooting 39.4 percent from beyond the arc and 77 percent from the free throw line. The Colorado State Rams are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 29.2 rebounds per game.

San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs lost to Boise State and beat UNLV. San Diego State has lost 4 of its last 6 games.

The San Diego State Aztecs are averaging 79.1 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 71 points on 40 percent shooting. Reese Dixon-Waters is averaging 13 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Miles Byrd is averaging 10.8 points and 4.5 rebounds. BJ Davis is the third double-digit scorer, and Magoon Gwath is dishing 0.3 assists. The San Diego State Aztecs are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 75 percent from the free throw line. The San Diego State Aztecs are allowing 3.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.4 rebounds per game.

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

• San Diego State has won each of its last eight Conference Tournament night games at the Thomas & Mack Center.
• Colorado State has lost the first half in each of its last four Conference Tournament games against San Diego State at the Thomas & Mack Center.

Why the Colorado State Rams will win

• Colorado State has won each of its last six games against conference opponents at the Thomas & Mack Center.
• San Diego State has lost four of its last five night games played at neutral venues.
• San Diego State has lost the first half in four of its last five Conference Tournament games at the Thomas & Mack Center.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of San Diego State’s last 10 games against the Mountain West Conference at neutral venues have produced a total of 129 or fewer points.
• Eight of Colorado State’s last nine games against conference opponents have produced a total of 144+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• San Diego State ranks 23rd among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (14.6).
• San Diego State ranks 24th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (22.9).
• Colorado State ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (63.6%).
• Colorado State ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (29.2).

Colorado State vs San Diego State Prediction

Colorado State just beat San Diego State a few weeks ago, getting whatever it wanted offensively. San Diego State has the rest advantage, but it limps into the tournament with losses in 4 of its last 6 games. This isn’t the same San Diego State from past years. San Diego State has had issues finishing games and it can be shaky defensively at times, mainly from the outside. I’ll grab the points with the Rams on Thursday night.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Colorado State +5.5