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Chattanooga vs Dayton Prediction 3/22/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
Dayton (23-10) vs Chattanooga (25-9)
March 22, 2025 at 11:30 AM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Dayton -2.5 — Over/Under: 150.5
The Dayton Flyers are facing the Chattanooga Mocs on Saturday, March 22nd at the Climate Pledge Arena, in this NIT Tournament second round matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Dayton Flyers vs Chattanooga Mocs Prediction. We will examine:
The Chattanooga Mocs recent form and player performance
The Dayton Flyers recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Chattanooga Mocs
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Dayton Flyers
Recent betting trends in games played between the Dayton Flyers vs Chattanooga Mocs
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Dayton Flyers vs Chattanooga Mocs game
Chattanooga Mocs Preview
The Chattanooga Mocs have a 25-9 record this season and were placed first in the Southern. Chattanooga is coming off a 109-103 win over Middle Tennessee in the first round of the NIT Tournament. The Mocs are 20-12 against the spread, and 18-14 in over/under.
Offensively, Chattanooga is averaging 79.7 points per game, which is 61st in the nation. Defensively, they allow 72.9 points per game (184th). The Mocs shoot with 48.2% from the field (32nd), and with 36.2% from beyond the arc (62nd). The Mocs shoot with 76.8% from the free-throw line (36th), and are grabbing 30.5 rebounds per game (284th).
Honor Huff leads Chattanooga in scoring this season, with an average of 15.1 points, while Bash Wieland adds 13.9 points and 4.2 rebounds per game.
Dayton Flyers Preview
The Dayton Flyers have a 23-10 record this season and were placed 3rd in the Atlantic 10. Dayton is coming off an 86-79 win over Florida Atlantic in the first round of the NIT Tournament. The Flyers are 16-16 against the spread, and 21-10-1 in over/under.
Offensively, Dayton is averaging 75.5 points per game, which ranks 133rd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 70.3 points per game (119th). The Flyers shoot with 45.9% from the field (111th), and with 35.8% from beyond the arc (88th). The Flyers shoot with 74.3% from the free-throw line (86th), and are grabbing 31.2 rebounds per game (231st).
Nate Santos leads Dayton in scoring, with an average of 14.1 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Enoch Cheeks adds 13.4 points and a team-high 6.3 rebounds per game.
Why the Chattanooga Mocs will win
- Chattanooga has won each of its last nine Saturday games.
- Dayton has lost three of its last four road games following a road win.
- Chattanooga has won the first half in each of its last four day games against non-Conference opponents at McKenzie Arena.
Why the Dayton Flyers will win
- Dayton has won 14 of its last 15 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Dayton has won the first half in each of its last four National Invitation Tournament games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Chattanooga’s last five day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at McKenzie Arena have produced a total of 151+ points.
- Each of Dayton’s last six Saturday games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Chattanooga ranks 11th among Division 1 teams for assist to turnover ratio this season (1.64).
- Chattanooga ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (60.0%).
- Dayton ranks 40th among Division 1 teams for assist to turnover ratio this season (1.45).
- Dayton ranks 41st among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (16.2).
Dayton Flyers vs Chattanooga Mocs Prediction
In their only previous meeting back in 2015, Chattanooga won 61-59 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total.
In this Dayton Flyers vs Chattanooga Mocs Prediction, Dayton is coming as -3-point favorites. Maybe the wrong team is favored in this matchup, as Chattanooga had more total wins this season and also more wins away from home than Dayton (11 to 6). The Mocs are coming in this matchup red-hot, as they are 9-1 in their last 10 games and 4-1 against the spread in their last 5. The Flyers are 5-1 in their last 6 games but only 5-5 against the spread.
Given both teams’ recent form and overall records, the value lies with the underdog in this matchup. Give me the Chattanooga Mocs and the +3 points in this one.
