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Central Arkansas vs Stetson Prediction 3/2/25 College Basketball Picks

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Stetson (8-23) vs Central Arkansas (8-23)

March 2, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Stetson -1.5 — Over/Under: 144.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Central Arkansas vs Stetson prediction for this College Basketball game on Sunday, March 2nd at Allen Arena in Nashville, Tennessee. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup in the first round of the ASUN Tournament. 

Central Arkansas Bears Betting Preview

The Central Arkansas Bears are 8-23 (4-14) this year after they lost to Lipscomb by a score of 78-60 in their last game. Central Arkansas trailed 35-26 at halftime and allowed 43 points in the second half in the loss. The Bears shot 43.4% from the field, 20% on three pointers, and 71.4% on free throws in the game. Nehemiah Turner led Central Arkansas with 24 points and six rebounds, while Brayden Fagbemi added 13 points and three assists in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Bears lost to North Alabama by a score of 93-70, but did beat West Georgia by a score of 82-71 before that. Central Arkansas has lost seven of their last nine games and they finished third to last in the ASUN standings with a 4-14 record. Central Arkansas has scored 70.2 points per game and they have allowed 78.1 points against per game, while also averaging 36.1 rebounds and 13.8 assists per game this season. Elias Cato is averaging 14.8 points, 5.2 rebounds, and 0.9 assists per game, while Brayden Fagbemi is averaging 11.1 points, 4.1 rebounds, and 4.8 assists per game this year. Central Arkansas is shooting 40.8% from the field, 70.4% on free throws, and 30% on three pointers this season. 

Stetson Hatters Betting Preview

The Stetson Hatters are 8-23 (6-12) this season after they lost to Jacksonville by a score of 79-72 in their last game. Stetson trailed 44-32 at halftime, but they did outscore Jacksonville by a total of 40-35 in the second half in the loss. The Hatters shot 48.2% from the field, 21.1% on three pointers, and 70% on free throws in the game. Mehki Ellison led Stetson with 20 points and six rebounds, while Jamie Phillips Jr. also added 20 points and six rebounds in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Hatters defeated Bellarmine by a score of 69-67, but did lose to Florida Gulf Coast by a score of 83-80 before that. Stetson has lost nine of their last ten games and they finished ninth in the ASUN standings with a 6-12 record. Stetson has scored 71.1 points per game and they have allowed 81.2 points against per game, while also averaging 33.3 rebounds and 11.4 assists per game this season. Mehki Ellison is averaging 14.8 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 2.5 assists per game, while Josh Massey is averaging 11.8 points, 4.9 rebounds, and 1.3 assists per game this year. Stetson is shooting 44.3% from the field, 73.2% on free throws, and 33% on three pointers this season. 

Why Stetson will beat Central Arkansas 

  • Central Arkansas has lost 16 of its last 18 night games against Conference opponents.
  • Stetson has won each of its last three Conference Tournament games.
  • Stetson has won the first half in four of its last five night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Why Central Arkansas will beat Stetson

  • Stetson has lost nine of its last 10 games against the ASUN Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Stetson’s last seven night games at Allen Arena have produced a total of 148+ points.
  • Four of Central Arkansas’ last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Stetson ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (64.9).
  • Stetson ranks 357th among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (81.6).
  • Central Arkansas ranks 362nd among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (38.3%).
  • Central Arkansas ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (9.8).

David Racey is 107-85 (56%) in College Basketball over the last 30 days. Click here for his premium plays for today!

Central Arkansas vs Stetson Prediction 

Both of these teams finished the regular season towards the bottom of the ASUN standings, but they both get a chance to get one step closer to the NCAA Tournament with a win a here. Stetson is the better shooting team, as Central Arkansas is only shooting 40.8% from the field this year. Both teams have been pretty brutal on the defensive end of the floor, so we could see a good amount of points in this game. Stetson won the first meeting with Central Arkansas by a score of 75-65, but I really don’t trust either team in this matchup. I am going to side with the over in this game, as both defenses have been a liability. 

David Racey's Pick: Over 144.5

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