Cal Poly vs UC Davis Prediction College Basketball Picks 12/5/24

Pick details

UC Davis (3-4) vs Cal Poly (5-4)

December 5, 2024 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: UC Davis -2.5 / Cal Poly +2.5 — Over/Under: 158.5

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The Cal Poly Mustangs and UC Davis Aggies meet Thursday in college basketball action at the University Credit Union Center. Here’s a Cal Poly vs UC Davis Prediction. This article will include a Cal Poly vs UC Davis Pick.

Cal Poly Mustangs Betting Preview

The Cal Poly Mustangs beat Grambling and Stanford, and they play Cal State Northridge, San Jose State, and Denver next. The Cal Poly Mustangs are averaging 82.3 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 81.7 points on 44.1 percent shooting. Owen Koonce is averaging 15.8 points and 5.1 rebounds, while Isaac Jessup is averaging 14.3 points and 3.8 rebounds. Jarred Hyder is the third double-digit scorer and Mac Riniker is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Cal Poly Mustangs are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 76.7 percent from the free throw line. The Cal Poly Mustangs are allowing 33.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31 rebounds per game.

UC Davis Aggies Betting Preview

The UC Davis Aggies lost to Norfolk State and Oregon State, and they play UC Santa Barbara, Sacramento State, and Idaho next. The UC Davis Aggies are averaging 69.1 points on 41.5 percent shooting and allowing 76.7 points on 44.7 percent shooting. TY Johnson is averaging 22.4 points and 4.3 rebounds, while Pablo Tamba is averaging 12.3 points and 5.9 rebounds. Leo DeBruhl is the third double-digit scorer and Connor Sevilla is dishing 0.6 assists. The UC Davis Aggies are shooting 31.5 percent from beyond the arc and 76 percent from the free throw line. The UC Davis Aggies are allowing 31.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30 rebounds per game.

Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win

  • Cal Poly has won four of its last five night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • UC Davis has lost three of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts


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  • Each of UC Davis’ last 17 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents has produced a total of 157 or fewer points.
  • Each of Cal Poly’s last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents at University Credit Union Center have produced a total of 138 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Cal Poly ranks T29th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.3).
  • Cal Poly ranks 35th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (29.1).

Cal Poly vs UC Davis Prediction

The UC Davis Aggies are the better team on paper and are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home. However, the Cal Poly Mustangs are a live dog because of their ability to score the ball at a high clip. We just saw Cal Poly beat Stanford as a 15.5-point underdog, scoring 97 points on 54 percent shooting. We also saw Cal Poly upset Seattle and Eastern Washington. Play with the explosive Mustangs if you want to… Give me the free bucket with Cal Poly.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Cal Poly +2.5


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