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Buffalo vs Toledo Prediction 2/4/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
Toledo (13-8) vs Buffalo (7-14)
February 4, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Toledo -13.5 — Over/Under: 164
The Buffalo Bulls and Toledo Rockets meet Tuesday in college basketball action at the Savage Arena. Here’s a Buffalo vs Toledo Prediction. This article will include a Buffalo vs Toledo Pick.
Buffalo Bulls Betting PreviewÂ
The Buffalo Bulls beat Central Michigan, lost to Ball State, and they play Georgia State, Northern Illinois, and Bowling Green next. The Buffalo Bulls are averaging 72.7 points on 42.5 percent shooting and allowing 81.7 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Ryan Sabol is averaging 16.4 points and 2.7 rebounds, while Tyson Dunn is averaging 12.3 points and 4.4 rebounds. Ben Michaels is grabbing 4 rebounds and Anquan Boldin Jr. is dishing 1.3 assists. The Buffalo Bulls are shooting 30.2 percent from beyond the arc and 69 percent from the free throw line. The Buffalo Bulls are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.1 rebounds per game.
Toledo Rockets Betting PreviewÂ
The Toledo Rockets beat Northern Illinois and Ohio, and they play James Madison, Miami OH, and Eastern Michigan next. The Toledo Rockets are averaging 78.8 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 78.1 points on 46.9 percent shooting. Sonny Wilson is averaging 15.5 points, 4.9 rebounds and 3.3 assists. Sam Lewis is averaging 14.8 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1.1 assists. Javan Simmons is averaging 12.2 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 2.4 assists. Isaiah Adams is grabbing 3.6 rebounds and 3.3 assists. The Toledo Rockets are shooting 34 percent from beyond the arc and 73.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Toledo Rockets are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Toledo Rockets will win
- Buffalo has lost each of its last seven road night games against Conference opponents.
- Toledo has won 19 of its last 21 games against the Mid-American Conference at Savage Arena.
- Toledo has won the first half in eight of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seventeen of Buffalo’s last 18 night games against the Mid-American Conference have produced a total of 161 or fewer points.
- Seven of Toledo’s last eight night games at Savage Arena have produced a total of 163 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Toledo ranks 37th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (11.2).
- Toledo ranks T47th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (15.9).
- Buffalo ranks T44th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (27.3).
Buffalo vs Toledo Injury Report
Neither Buffalo nor Toledo have a player listed on its injury report.
Buffalo vs Toledo Prediction
This line has more to do with how bad Buffalo is than anything to do with Toledo, so I’m not excited to lay double-digit chalk with the Rockets. However, Buffalo has lost eight of its last 10 games and has failed to cover seven of those games. Buffalo has allowed 89 or more points in three of its last four games. Toledo has a top-100 in scoring offense and offensive field goal percentage, so the Rockets should be drooling about this matchup. Toledo is bad defensively in its own right so this cover may not come easy. Maybe the over is worth a look as well. Still, if forced to pick, I’m going to side with Toledo in a comfortable home victory.
