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Boise State vs Fresno State Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Fresno State (5-23) vs Boise State (20-8)

March 1, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Fresno State +17.5 — Over/Under: 145.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Boise State Broncos are visiting the Fresno State Bulldogs on Saturday, Match 1st at the Save Mart Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boise State Broncos vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction. We will examine:

The Fresno State Bulldogs recent form and player performance

The Boise State Broncos recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Fresno State Bulldogs

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Boise State Broncos

Recent betting trends in games played between Boise State Broncos and Fresno State Bulldogs

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Boise State Broncos vs Fresno State Bulldogs game

Fresno State Bulldogs Preview

The Fresno State Bulldogs has a 5-23 record this season and are sitting on the 11th place of the Mountain West. The Bulldogs are coming off a 69-72 loss in Air Force. The Bulldogs are 15-11-2 against the spread, and 17-11 in over/under, while having a 4-8 home record.

Offensively, Fresno State is averaging 71.4 points per game, which ranks 259th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 81.4 points per game (354th). The Bulldogs shoot with 40.8% from the field (346th), and with 31.5% from beyond the arc (308th). The Bulldogs shoot with 69.5% from the free-throw line (265th), and are grabbing 34.8 rebounds per game (214th).

Jalen Weaver leads Fresno State in scoring, with an average of 12.5 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Zaon Collins adds 12 points, 4 rebounds and a team-high 4.7 assists per game.

Boise State Broncos Preview

The Boise State Broncos have a 20-8 record this season and are sitting on the 5th place of the Mountain West. Boise State is coming off an 82-65 win over Utah State. The Broncos are 15-12 against the spread, and 14-13 in over/under, while having a 4-5 road record.

Offensively, Boise State is averaging 76 points per game, which ranks 129th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 65.7 points per game (36th). The Broncos shoot with 47.2% from the field (60th), and with 31.8% from beyond the arc (296th). The Broncos shoot with 76.9% from the free-throw line (36th), and are grabbing 36.86 rebounds per game (125th).

Tyson Degenhart leads Boise State in scoring, with an average of 17.8 points and 6.2 rebounds, while Alvaro Cardenas adds 11.9 points, 3 rebounds and a team-high 6.7 assists per game.

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

  • The home team has won 11 of Boise State’s last 13 games.
  • The home team has won the first half in nine of Boise State’s last 11 games.

Why the Boise State Broncos will win


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  • Fresno State has lost each of its last 10 games.
  • Boise State has won each of its last six games against Fresno State.
  • Fresno State has lost the first half in nine of its last 10 games against the Mountain West Conference.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Fresno State ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (41.1).
  • Fresno State ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (30.6).
  • Boise State ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (28.3).
  • Boise State ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (56.1%).

Boise State Broncos vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction

Boise State is 8-1 in their last 9 meetings against Fresno State, and are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 meetings. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, Boise State won 82-60 at home, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total.

In this Boise State Broncos vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, Boise State is coming as -17.5 road favorites. Boise State is rightfully favored, as they have been the superior team this season, but they have been mediocre on the road. Fresno State is on a free fall with ten consecutive losses, while on the other hand, Boise State has been red-hot with a 7-1 record in their last 8 games and 7-1 against the spread. The Broncos destroyed the Bulldogs in their previous meeting this season by 22 points, and they will have no trouble getting another comfortable victory in this game. Take the Boise State Broncos and lay the chalk on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Boise State Broncos -17.5


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