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Austin Peay vs UT Rio Grande Valley Prediction 12/7/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Austin Peay Governors | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 4-4 | 2-5 |
| Where | UTRGV Fieldhouse, Edinburg, TX | |
| When | Sunday, December 7, 2025 | |
| Time | 02:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros Preview
UT Rio Grande Valley has a 2-5 record this season and is sitting on the 7th place of the Southland conference. They have a 1-0 Home record and previous three games were a loss against Stephen F. Austin by 73-60, a loss against Illinois by 87-73 and a loss against Missouri State by 74-67.
Offensively, UT Rio Grande Valley averages 78.7 points per game, while allowing 77.1 points per game defensively. The Vaqueros shoot with 46% from the field and grab 35.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.3 assists per game. They average 2.6 blocks per game and 6.4 steals per game defensively. Marcus McGhee III leads UT Rio Grande Valley in scoring, with an average of 12.4 points per game, while shooting with 47% from the field and 76.9% from the free throw line.
Austin Peay Governors Preview
Austin Peay has a 4-4 record this season and is sitting on the 3rd place of the Atlantic Sun conference. They have a 2-4 Away record and is coming off a 96-84 away loss against Kentucky. Their previous three games were a win against Northern Illinois by 77-59, a loss against Tulsa by 84-75 and a loss against Mississippi by 72-65.
Offensively, Austin Peay averages 79.6 points per game, while allowing 69.3 points per game defensively. The Governors shoot with 45% from the field and grab 37.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.9 assists per game. They average 2.3 blocks per game and 10.5 steals per game defensively. Connor Parker leads Austin Peay in scoring, with an average of 17 points per game, while shooting with 52.1% from the field and 80.8% from the free throw line.
Austin Peay Governors @ Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros Betting Trends: December 7, 2025
Why the Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros will win
- Texas–Rio Grande Valley has won each of its last six home games following a road loss.
- Austin Peay has lost eight of its last 10 road games against non-Conference opponents.
- Texas–Rio Grande Valley has won the first half in each of its last seven home games.
Why the Austin Peay Governors will win
- Texas–Rio Grande Valley has lost each of its last 11 Sunday day games against non-Conference opponents.
- Austin Peay has won each of its last four day games.
- Texas–Rio Grande Valley has lost the first half in each of its last 11 Sunday day games against non-Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seventeen of Austin Peay’s last 18 day games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.
- Each of Texas–Rio Grande Valley’s last seven games against non-Conference opponents at UTRGV Fieldhouse have produced a total of 151+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Texas–Rio Grande Valley ranks T3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (4.0).
- Texas–Rio Grande Valley ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for three-point percentage this season (41.3%).
- Austin Peay ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (63.9%).
- Austin Peay ranks T16th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (10.5).
Austin Peay vs UT Rio Grande Valley Prediction
In this Austin Peay vs UT Rio Grande Valley Prediction, UT Rio Grande Valley is coming as -1 home favorites. Austin Peay has been the better team this season, as they have twice the number of wins than Rio Grande Valley and have been much better against the spread, with a 4-2-1 record, while Rio Grande Valley is 1-3 against the spread in its last 4 games. Austin Peay is better both offensively and defensively, allowing 7.8 points per game less than Rio Grande Valley and having a +10.3 point differential this season, so I like them as road dogs in this spot. Take Austin Peay and get the +1 point in this one.
