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Arkansas vs St. John’s Prediction 3/22/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
St. John's (31-4) vs Arkansas (21-13)
March 22, 2025 at 02:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: St. John's -7.5 — Over/Under: 144.5
The Arkansas Razorbacks and St. John’s Red Storm meet Saturday in the college basketball Second Round at the Amica Mutual Pavilion. Here’s a Arkansas vs St. John’s Prediction. This article will include a Arkansas vs St. John’s Pick.
Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview
The Arkansas Razorbacks recently played Vanderbilt, Mississippi State, South Carolina, Ole Miss, and Kansas. Arkansas is healthy and has won six of its last eight games.
The Arkansas Razorbacks are averaging 76.6 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 71.2 points on 42 percent shooting. Adou Thiero is averaging 15.6 points and 6 rebounds, while Boogie Fland is averaging 14.6 points and 5.6 assists. DJ Wagner is the third double-digit scorer and Johnell Davis is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Arkansas Razorbacks are shooting 33.3 percent from beyond the arc and 73.4 percent from the free throw line. The Arkansas Razorbacks are allowing 31.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.1 rebounds per game.
St. John’s Red Storm Betting Preview
The St. John’s Red Storm beat Marquette, Butler, Creighton, and Omaha. St. John’s has won 10 straight games and has lost once since January 4.
The St. John’s Red Storm are averaging 78.7 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 65.9 points on 40.1 percent shooting. RJ Luis Jr. is averaging 18.5 points and 7.2 rebounds, while Zuby Ejiofor is averaging 14.4 points and 1.7 assists. Kadary Richmond is the third double-digit scorer and Deivon Smith is dishing 4 assists. The St. John’s Red Storm are shooting 30.4 percent from beyond the arc and 68.9 percent from the free throw line. The St. John’s Red Storm are allowing 31.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.4 rebounds per game.
Why the St. John’s Red Storm will win
- St. John’s has won 20 of its last 21 games.
- Arkansas has lost 11 of its last 12 day games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Arkansas has lost the first half in each of its last five games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Why the Arkansas Razorbacks will win
- Arkansas has won 11 of its last 12 games against non-Conference opponents.
- St. John’s has lost six of its last eight games at Amica Mutual Pavilion.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Arkansas’ last four day games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 134 or fewer points.
- Each of St. John’s’ last three games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 136 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- St. John’s ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (5.4).
- St. John’s ranks 11th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (15.6).
Arkansas vs St. John’s Injury Report
Arkansas will remain without Adou Thiero due to a knee injury. St. John’s will continue to be without Jaiden Glover and Brady Dunlap.
Arkansas vs St. John’s Prediction
St. John’s is as hot as any team in the tournament and has been cruising over the last two months. This is pretty much a home game in Rhode Island and there’s a lot to like about the Red Storm. St. John’s is 22-12-1 ATS on the season as well. However, Arkansas looked great offensively in its first-round matchup and it has the size to compete with St. John’s down low. Also, Boogie Fland returned for Arkansas and he should be even more comfortable with a game under his belt.
This line feels disrespectful toward an Arkansas team that can fill it up offensively and has the athletes who can run with St. John’s. Since February, Arkansas is 6-0-1 ATS as an underdog of five or more points. Four of those covers were outright wins. Give me the Razorbacks and the points.