Arkansas State vs UAB Prediction College Basketball Picks 12/15/24

The Arkansas State Red Wolves are visiting the UAB Blazers on Sunday, December 15th at the Bartow Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arkansas State Red Wolves vs UAB Blazers Prediction.

UAB Blazers Preview

The UAB Blazers have a 5-5 record this season and are coming off a 95-66 win over Prairie View A&M. The Blazers are 3-6 against the spread, and 5-4 in over/under, while they have a 4-2 home record. 

Offensively, UAB is averaging 84.2 points per game, which ranks 34th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 75.6 points per game (283rd). The Blazers shoot 47.7% from the field (75th) and 30.2% from beyond the arc (310th). The Blazers shoot 72.1% from the free-throw line (160th) and are grabbing 41.1 rebounds per game (31st).

Yaxel Lendeborg leads UAB in scoring, with an average of 17.2 points and a team-high 9.8 rebounds, while Christian Coleman adds 11 points and 7.1 rebounds. UAB will face Alabama A&M following this one.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Preview

The Arkansas State Red Wolves have an 8-3 record this season and are coming off an 83-79 win over UT Arlington. The Red Wolves are 4-6 against the spread, and 5-5 in over/under while having a 1-1 road record.

Offensively, Arkansas State is averaging 77.6 points per game, which ranks 142nd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 70.4 points per game (166th). The Red Wolves shoot 40.2% from the field (340th) and 29.9% from beyond the arc (321st). The Red Wolves shoot 68.6% from the free-throw line (255th) and are grabbing 41.6 rebounds per game (21st).

Taryn Todd leads Arkansas State in scoring this season, with 14.5 points, 4.9 rebounds, and 3.1 assists, while Kobe Julien adds 12.5 points and 5.7 rebounds. Arkansas State will meet Coastal Carolina, Old Dominion, James Madison, and South Alabama after this game.

Why the UAB Blazers will win

• UAB has won each of its last eight day games at Bartow Arena following a home win.
• UAB has won the first half in four of its last five day games at Bartow Arena.

Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win

• Arkansas State has won 11 of its last 12 day games.
• UAB has lost three of its last four day games.
• Arkansas State has won the first half in 12 of its last 13 day games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of UAB’s last eight day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Bartow Arena has produced a total of 157 or fewer points.
• Each of Arkansas State’s last five games against the American Athletic Conference Conference have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• UAB ranks T361st among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (78.9%).
• UAB ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (31.8).
• Arkansas State ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (30.5).
• Arkansas State ranks 24th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (41.5).

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs UAB Blazers Prediction

In their only previous meeting last season, Arkansas State won 87-68 at home. In this Arkansas State Red Wolves vs UAB Blazers Prediction, UAB is coming as a -3.5 home favorites. UAB is better offensively, scoring 6.6 points more than Arkansas State, while Arkansas State is better defensively, allowing 5.2 points less. The Red Wolves are struggling mightily with their shooting this season, as they rank in the bottom 20 of the nation in field goal percentage and in the bottom 40 in 3-point percentage. On the other hand, the Blazers are a top-75 team in shooting from the field. Arkansas State is just 1-5 against the spread in their last 6 games, so the value here lies with the home team. Take the UAB Blazers and lay the points at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: UAB Blazers -3.5