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Arkansas State vs Texas State Prediction 2/1/25 College Basketball Picks

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Texas State (12-10) vs Arkansas State (17-5)

February 1, 2025 at 05:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Texas State +5.5 — Over/Under: 148.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Arkansas State vs Texas State prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, February 1st at the University Events Center in San Marcos, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview

The Arkansas State Red Wolves are 17-5 (8-2) this season after they defeated Southern Miss by a score of 81-68 in their last game. Arkansas State trailed 41-37 at halftime, but they scored 44 points in the second half for the win. The Red Wolves shot 43.8% from the field, 31.6% on three-pointers, and 76% on free throws in the game. Taryn Todd led Arkansas State with 25 points and three rebounds, while Joseph Pinion added 13 points and nine rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that victory, the Red Wolves defeated Texas State by a score of 80-65 and Appalachian State by a score of 65-55. Arkansas State has won six games in a row and they are currently first in the Sun Belt standings with an 8-2 record. Arkansas State has scored 78.6 points per game and they have allowed 69.1 points per game, while also averaging 40.9 rebounds and 13.3 assists per game this season. Taryn Todd is averaging 16.3 points, 5.0 rebounds, and 3.3 assists per game, while Kobe Julian is averaging 12.6 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 1.5 assists per game this year. Arkansas State is shooting 41.8% from the field, 72.3% on free throws, and 31.8% on three-pointers this season. 

Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview

The Texas State Bobcats are 12-10 (5-5) this year after they lost to Louisiana by a score of 70-61 in their last game. Texas State trailed 33-27 at halftime and couldn’t complete the comeback in the second half for the loss. The Bobcats shot 41.2% from the field, 23.5% on three-pointers, and 75% on free throws in the game. Kaden Gumbs led Texas State with 17 points and six rebounds, while Joshua O’Garro added 10 points and seven rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Bobcats lost to Arkansas State by a score of 80-65 but did beat Louisiana by a score of 89-74 before that. Texas State has won three of their last five games and they are currently tied for eighth in the Sun Belt standings. Texas State has scored 76.8 points per game and they have allowed 72.0 points per game, while also averaging 37.0 rebounds and 13.8 assists per game this season. Tylan Pope is averaging 15.5 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 1.7 blocks per game, while Kaden Gumbs is averaging 12.0 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 4.3 assists per game this year. Texas State is shooting 46.8% from the field, 77.4% on free throws, and 37.3% on three-pointers this season. 

Why Texas State will beat Arkansas State

  • Texas State has won eight of its last nine games against Conference opponents at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center.
  • Arkansas State has lost seven of its last eight games at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Arkansas State has lost the first half in each of its last three road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Arkansas State vs Texas State Prediction 

Texas State comes into this matchup trying to snap a two-game losing streak and they just lost to Arkansas State by 15 points, but they will be at home for this game. The Bobcats are shooting 46.8% from the field this year and they have scored at least 85 points in four straight games. Arkansas State is the top team in the conference right now, but they are shooting just 41.8% from the field this year. The Red Wolves have been very strong defensively, as they have allowed 65 points or fewer in four of their last five games. Both of Arkansas State’s losses in conference play have been on the road and I think Texas State has a great chance to pull off the upset. Take the Bobcats and the points here. 

David Racey's Pick: Texas State +5.5

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