Dyondre Dominguez (45) takes it to the hoop during the Sun Belt Conference men's basketball championship game between Troy and Arkansas State at the Bay Center in Pensacola on Monday, March 10, 2025.
Gregg Pachkowski/Pensacola News Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Arkansas State vs Little Rock Prediction 12/6/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Arkansas State Red Wolves Little Rock Trojans
Team Records 6-3 2-6
Spread -8.5 -115 +8.5 -105
Moneyline -360 +285
Total Over 149.5 (-105) Under 149.5 (-115)
Where Jack Stephens Center, Little Rock, AR
When Saturday, December 6, 2025
Time 09:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article, we will formulate an Arkansas State vs Little Rock Prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, December 6th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Little Rock Trojans Preview


Little Rock has a 2-5 record this season and is sitting on the 10th place of the Ohio Valley conference. They have a 1-0 home record and a 1-5 away record and is coming off a 85-47 away loss against Central Arkansas. Their previous two games a loss against Southern Illinois and a loss against Texas State.

Offensively, Little Rock averages 67.1 points per game, while allowing 76.3 points per game defensively. The Trojans shoot with 46.6% from the field (111th), and with 39.4% from beyond the arc (24th). They shoot with 58.7% from the free throw line (361st), and grab 31.6 rebounds per game (219th), while dishing out 14.4 assists per game (109th) and committing 16.9 turnovers per game (352nd).

Cameron Wallace leads Little Rock in scoring, with an average of 12.1 points per game, and also leads the team with 5.1 rebounds per game. Johnathan Lawson adds 12.1 points per game and a team-high 4.1 assists per game.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Preview


Arkansas State has a 6-3 record this season and is sitting on the 3rd place of the Sun Belt conference. They have a 4-0 home record and a 2-3 away record and is coming off a 83-63 home win against UT Arlington. Their previous two games were a win against North Dakota State and a win against Jacksonville State.

Offensively, Arkansas State averages 79.8 points per game, while allowing 79.8 points per game defensively. The Red Wolves shoot with 43.4% from the field (224th), and with 28.2% from beyond the arc (322nd). They shoot with 78.7% from the free throw line (13th), and grab 39.2 rebounds per game (54th), while dishing out 14.2 assists per game (115th) and committing 15.2 turnovers per game (308th).

Joey Chammaa leads Arkansas State in scoring, with an average of 19 points per game. Chandler Jackson adds 10.9 points per game and a team-high 4.3 assists per game. Jalen Hampton adds 6.9 points per game and a team-high 6.6 rebounds per game.

Arkansas State Red Wolves @ Little Rock Trojans Betting Trends: December 6, 2025


Why the Little Rock Trojans will win

  • Little Rock has won each of its last nine home night games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Arkansas State has lost 14 of its last 17 road night games against non-Conference opponents.
  • The home team has won the first half in each of Arkansas State’s last 11 games.

Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win

  • Little Rock has lost seven of its last eight games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Arkansas State has won four of its last five games against Little Rock.
  • Little Rock has lost the first half in 13 of its last 14 night games against the Sun Belt Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Little Rock’s last 11 home night games against the Sun Belt Conference have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.
  • Seven of Arkansas State’s last eight games against the Ohio Valley Conference Conference have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.

Arkansas State vs Little Rock Prediction


In this Arkansas State vs Little Rock Prediction, Arkansas State is coming as -8.5 road favorites. Arkansas State has been the better team this season, as they have a better overall record and are coming into this matchup in good form, having three consecutive wins. They have also been very good against the spread this season with a 6-2 record, while on the flip side, Little Rock has been struggling lately, as they are 1-6 in their last 7 games and 2-5 against the spread this season. I like the value with the road team in this matchup, so take Arkansas State and lay the points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Arkansas State -8.5

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